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We are a little over a week away from the Super Bowl. Josh Gayle is sharing his best bet for the Eagles vs. the Chiefs Super Bowl game.
ANALYSIS

Super Bowl 2023 Prediction: Yes, We're Betting on a Kickoff Prop

Getting weird for the big game, again.

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Super Bowl Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: Sunday, February 12, 2022
  • Start Time: 6:30 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: FOX

Click here for Super Bowl Odds

Super Bowl Pick

1u - Opening Touchback - NO (+160) Bet $100 to collect $260 Get the best odds at DraftKings, click here to bet

We bet this last year and it burnt us but we are looking for revenge. 56% of the money is on the opening kickoff to be a touchback but we are fading the public. I understand it’s an indoor stadium but allow me to explain.

Super Bowl Prediction

In 17 out of the last 20 Super Bowls, we have seen a returned opening kickoff. In the last two decades, we have had a prop with an 85% hit rate at +160. Insanity. You may ask why that is. What many people may not know is the opening kickoff uses a ball that hasn’t been used until the opening kick. Usually, kickers can wear down a ball and soften it to use on the kickoff resulting in a touchback.

Former player Pat McAfee said once on his podcast that this ball they only use for the opening kickoff and then reserve it for Canton where they put it in the Hall of Fame. Although neither team has an electric return man the history suggests that this is more likely to be returned than not and +160 is absolutely a monster value. Let's roll!

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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