2023 Super Bowl Player Prop: The Best Longshot Anytime TD Bet
2023 Super Bowl Player Prop: The Best Longshot Anytime TD Bet
With Super Bowl 57 closing in, it's time to lock in prop plays. I love looking at the more obscure props in the Super Bowl, as wacky things often happen in the big game. I'm not talking about betting the Gatorade color that is dumped on the winning coach or how long the anthem will run, but rather unsuspecting players making big plays or scoring touchdowns. When it comes to the latter, there is a player I love to score in the Super Bowl.
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Super Bowl Start Time and Where to Watch
- Date: Sunday, February 12, 2022
- Start Time: 6:30 pm ET
- TV Coverage: FOX
Super Bowl Odds
- Moneyline: Eagles (-120), Chiefs (+110)
- Spread: Eagles -1.5 (-110), Chiefs +1.5 (-110)
- Total: Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-103)
Click here for Super Bowl Odds
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Super Bowl 57 Player Prop Pick
When you look at the odds for anytime touchdown scorers, there are few surprises at the top. Travis Kelce, Jalen Hurts, and Miles Sanders lead the way at the top, which wasn't unusual to me. What was unusual, however, was that Kenneth Gainwell is sizably favored over Boston Scott to find the end zone.
Now I know Boston Scott isn't a guy who lit up the touchdown-scoring props this season, but he has been in the playoffs. Perhaps we are seeing "playoff Scott"? Boston Scott scored one touchdown in his first ten games this season. In his last five games since then, he has scored in four of them. He has also scored in three straight games and has a touchdown in both playoff games. Sirianni has been going to Scott inside the 10-yard line more than ever in the past few games, and I believe it is because of his ability to take care of the ball. The most important part of a red zone carry is not fumbling, and Scott only has one fumble in the last two seasons combined. Of course, he hasn't been the main running back, but still, he takes care of the ball.
Another reason I love this prop is because of the Eagles' dedication to running in the red zone. The Eagles lead the entire NFL with 32 rushing touchdowns, and more often than not, they are running it on the goal line rather than throwing it. This gives Scott more opportunities to score, given that he may be given a carry on the goal line on the tail end of a long drive from Sanders or Gainwell. Also, let's get back to Gainwell. Why are his odds so much better to score over Scott? Gainwell only had four rushing touchdowns all regular season compared to Scott's four, and Scott has one more touchdown in the postseason than Gainwell.
It seems like Scott has been RB2 behind Sanders in the red zone in the playoffs, so the odds made me scratch my head, but it's not like people are lining up to bet on Boston Scott, so it does make sense in a way. People are more familiar with Gainwell, making him appear like the better bet to score, but Scott has had a sneaky role in the postseason, and I think he gets at least a few touches in the red zone in the Super Bowl. For his high odds of +550 compared to Gainwell at +360 to score, I like Scott's odds more. He has scored in three-straight games. Why fade the hot streak at such a great price?
Super Bowl 57 Player Prop Pick
Pick: Boston Scott Anytime Touchdown @ (+550) Bet $100 to collect $650 FanDuel has the best odds, click here to bet
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Article Author
Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.