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The Eagles will face off against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl. Josh Gayle has a sneaky prop for the game.

Super Bowl 2023 Player Prop Pick: Will Patrick Mahomes Shine in Super Bowl LVII?

I'm trying to find sneaky plays and I think we have one.

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Super Bowl Start Time and Where to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, February 12, 2022
  • Start Time: 6:30 pm ET
  • TV Coverage: FOX

Super Bowl Odds

  • Moneyline: Eagles (-120), Chiefs (+110)
  • Spread: Eagles -1.5 (-110), Chiefs +1.5 (-110)
  • Total: Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-103)

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Super Bowl 2023 Player Prop Pick

1u - Patrick Mahomes u4.5 Rush Attempts (-145) Bet $145 to collect $245 Get the best odds at Caesars, click here to bet

This one is admittedly very weird. I’ve always been a believer in putting your body on the line in the playoffs so this feels contradictory but allow me to explain. Yes, in playoff games, especially the Super Bowl, I feel as if quarterbacks are more willing to use their legs to make plays than in a random regular-season game. With that being said, Patrick Mahomes isn’t 100% and really lowered his rushing this year as a whole.

Super Bowl 2023 Player Prop Pick Prediction

Mahomes has only 61 rush attempts this season in 17 games. Just 3.5 per game. A good amount of those are kneels too. Could we lose on a game-securing kneel? Of course but Kansas City has won 16 games this year if you include the playoffs and Mahomes still has a hit rate on the season of 16 out of 19 on the under. Mahomes has four or fewer rush attempts in 84% of the games this year.

Philly’s defense will really try to get to him and I see Mahomes delivering quick strikes to his receivers. Philly only allows 4.05 rush attempts to quarterbacks which is under this number and that number is also heavily inflated due to facing Chicago this year as Justin Fields ran the ball fifteen times against them. This is a sneaky play worth the juice, let's roll!

Best Super Bowl Bets

Over the next week, you will find boatloads of picks on the game, including against-the-spread picks, player props, and much more on Oddschecker. Click here for Super Bowl picks

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You might have missed these early Super Bowl picks...

  1. Make This Bet on the Super Bowl Kickoff
  2. Our Staff's Best Bets for Super Bowl LVII
  3. Chiefs vs Eagles +360 Super Bowl Same-Game Parlay

Article Author

ROI 36.8%

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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