3M Open: Odds, Picks and Betting Preview

Golf expert Niall Lyons is back this week with his picks for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities
Niall Lyons
Tue, July 21, 6:39 AM EDT

Last year's 3M Open winner, Matthew Wolff, did so at age 20, becoming just the third golfer to ever win a NCAA individual championship and a PGA Tour tournament in the same year. The other two to do so are Ben Crenshaw and Tiger Woods.

Wolff comes into this year's tournament with the sixth-shortest odds in the field at +3000. Dustin Johnson (+1100) is this year's favorite despite missing the cut at last week's Memorial Tournament after back-to-back 80s in Round 1 and Round 2.

Last week's champion, Jon Rahm, isn't in this week's field at TPC Twin Cities. However, this week does mark the first time we'll be seeing Tommy Fleetwood (+1600) since PGA Tour play resumed in June.

Where is the 2020 3M Open?

TPC Twin Cities, Par 71

First Tee: Thursday, July 23, 7:00 a.m. ET

Field: 156 Golfers

What can we expect of TPC Twin Cities? What attributes do the players need?

TPC Twin Cities was designed by the great Arnold Palmer and is a 7,431-yard, par-71 course. Wolf made Eagle on the 18th hole last year to win by one stroke at 21-under par, so we can guys to go low. This year's version of TPC Twin Cities has one fewer par 5 and has been lengthened a bit, compared to 2019. There aren't a lot of trees lining the fairway on the course, so inaccuracy off the tee isn't the end of the world. There quite a few water hazards, but most are outside of potential landi areas for these golfers. Length off the tee this week will be more important than accuracy, so expect big hitters to score well. 

3M Open – Betting Picks

(1u) Dylan Frittelli to win @ +8000

(1u) Dylan Frittelli to place Top 5 @ +1200

Lucas Glover shot an impressive 62 here in the final round in 2019 to finish 7th with only a second round 72 ruining his chances of something better. He is playing decent sgolf and is a likely contender but around the +3500 isn't of much interest. Dylan Frittelli rates a much better prospect at double the odds. 22nd at the Memorial was a sign of just how classy a golfer the South African is and greater things probably lie ahead for him.

He should relish the return to a venue like this also having won the John Deere during this month last year at 21-under par. It is worth noting her finished 46th here at the 3M Open last year, having lost 5 strokes on the greens. We can expect a much better performance on the greens this time and looks one of the best value bets in the field at a top price of +8000.

(0.75u) Scott Piercy to win @ +12500

(0.75u) Scott Piercy to place Top 5 @ +2200

Scott Piercy loves a birdie fest and is another must play at triple figures. His best regular tour performances come on the courses where you can open your shoulders and make plenty of birdies. He did that last year leading after round one here at Twin Cities with a 62, eventually finishing 15th.

He was going well last week before faltering, like many others over the weekend, to a 77-78. No negatives there for me and the fact he made the cut comfortably before the weekend carnage was a good sign. He was playing fine stuff before the break with top 10 at Phoenix followed by top 20s at Pebble and the Genesis. This is certainly one of the more likely venues where he could pounce.

(0.75u) Troy Merritt to win @ +8000

(0.75u) Troy Merritt to place Top 5 @ +1400

Ignoring last week's MC at the Memorial, it would be foolish to dismiss Troy Merritt's chances here in Minnesota. He had made four cuts on the trot before arriving at Jack's stern test. 8th at the Rocket Mortgage and a top 25 the week later at Muirfield Village were fair positives for Troy.

With the wind set to blow across the week I think his ability to keep the ball in play and away from the hazards may prove important. Overall he is playing some decent stuff lately and finished 7th here at the course last year. Looks a tasty enough play at the +8000 mark.

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