Wyndham Championship Daily Fantasy Picks & Predictions: Webb Simpson Reigns Supreme
To say the Wyndham Championship holds a special place in my heart would be an understatement. On August 8th, 2020, my wife and I went out to dinner for our 5th year Wedding Anniversary. She understands the time and energy I poured into golf content and analysis every week, and she has made significant sacrifices along the way so that I could follow this passion. After dessert, she asked me quite bluntly, “What’s your endgame with all this golf stuff?” I responded, “To be real with you, I don’t know. I feel like a breakthrough is coming, so I just need to keep going.”
8 days later, it happened. I shipped almost $115,000 off $128 in entry fees on Draftkings. It serves as a reminder to always pursue your passion and never give up! It does not take mass entries and a huge stake to win one of these massive GPP contests, it just takes the right lineup at the right time!
Enough of story time, let’s shift to the 2021 edition of the Wyndham Championship held at familiar Sedgefield Country Club in North Carolina. This is the final tournament of the season, which means that it is critical for those hovering around the Fedex Cup Playoffs line. Sedgefield is an old-school Donald Ross design that plays as a shorter par-70 which favors accuracy off the tee and the ability to capitalize on birdie opportunities when in proper position.
Some of the key stats I am targeting this week are Greens in Regulation, Bermuda Grass Putting, Par 4 scoring, and Fairways Gained. Six of the last seven winners have ranked 10th or better in Fairways percentage. Setting yourself up properly for the approach shot into most of the common pin positions requires the correct angle and spin, which is much easier to achieve from the short grass. The greens are large but finding the correct level on these multi-tiered surfaces is paramount for success. Let us dive right into my favorite plays in each range for this week!
Wyndham Championship Daily Fantasy Picks & Predictions
$10,000 Range: Webb Simpson @ $10,600
Mr. Wyndham. I played him last year at almost 37% ownership so I’m going back to the well again! A final round 64 In Memphis was just what the doctor ordered for confidence. Familiarity and course knowledge goes a long way on a Donald Ross course, and Webb has not finished worse than 3rd place in his last 4 starts at Sedgefield Country Club. Plug your nose and click his name.
$9,000 Range: Russell Henley @ $9,400
We know the vast majority of approach shots at the Wyndham are going to come with your wedges, 9i, and 8i given how short the course is. Nobody has been sticking them closer than Henley over the last 24 rounds. He ranks 1st in proximity from 125-150 yards and 2nd in prox. From 150-175 yards. He finished top 10 here last year, and he also ranks out as the best player in the field when scoring conditions are easy. I expect him to be firmly in contention through the weekend.
$8,000 Range: Kevin Kisner @ $8,400
You can tell I am kind of a course history truther right? Well, it matters at this type of stop on Tour. Kiz finished 3rd in 2020 and is +23 in strokes gained over his last 3 starts at this event. Solid finishes at the Travelers and the Rocket Mortgage (also a Donald Ross design) earlier this summer would lead me to believe the current form has shown signs of life as well. A Par-70, shorter course, nestled in the Carolinas should be right up Kisner’s alley!
$7,000 Range: Chez Reavie @ $7,400
The importance of hitting the fairway at Sedgefield cannot be understated. I mentioned earlier the correlation between percentage of fairways hit and winning this tournament. Chez ranks 2nd in the field in terms of fairways gained. He went through a period of struggles with is irons earlier this summer but has turned that around, gaining strokes in his last 6 events. Hit the fairways and stick your wedges…that is the recipe.
$6,000 Range: Henrik Norlander @ $6,600
Norlander simply rates out really well and balanced across the board. He’s top 20 in Fairways hit, Ballstriking, Approach, and is particularly solid with his shorter clubs. His splits in terms of Strokes Gained filtered by difficulty would indicate he loves himself a good birdie fest. Bermuda is also his preferred putting surface by a good margin. I think Henrik makes a rock solid play in the mid 6k range.
I hope you all have a great week and let’s hope we can continue to run hot at the Wyndham!
Wyndham Championship Daily Fantasy Picks
Webb Simpson @ $10,600
Russell Henley @ $9,400
Kevin Kisner @ $8,400
Chez Reavie @ $7,400
Henrik Norlander @ $6,600