Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Daily Fantasy Picks and Predictions: Trusting Viktor Hovland to Get it Done
Welcome to the PGA Tour Vegas Swing! Back-to-back weeks in the Gambling Capital of the World as we kick things off with the Shriners Open held once again at TPC Summerlin. We have an abundance of course history to rely on and I expect this to be another birdie fest in the desert. We have seen winning scores breach the 20 under par mark in 4 of the last 5 years. The primary defense that TPC Summerlin has against low scores is the wind which appears to be negligible this week.
7,200 yards at almost 2,700 ft. of elevation makes this play as one of the shortest courses we see all year. That really brings several the shorter, more accurate players into play which we have seen have success in the past. Players like Kevin Na, Jim Furyk, and even last years Champion (2nd win at Shriners) Martin Laird. In tournaments like this where the scoring is easier than normal, it is important to find players who start fast. The cut line is likely going to be in the -5 to -7 under range which means if you stumble early, then long nights at the Blackjack table await.
I’m focusing my stat models this week around Birdie or Better rates, SG: Approach numbers, Driving Accuracy, and then blending in some TPC Summerlin Course History. The key in events where individual player scoring is higher than normal is to get all 6 players through the cut. We’ve managed to do so at a pretty incredible rate thus far in these articles which I am proud of. Of the 50 players I have written up in various ranges, 44 have made the cut! Let’s see if we can get them all through Friday this week!
Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Daily Fantasy Picks and Predictions
10k+ Range: Viktor Hovland @ $10,600
It’s time for Vik to break through in the continental United States! His approach numbers are simply staggering. 4th in the field in his last 8 rounds, 3rd in his last 24 rounds, 2nd in the last 50, 9th in the last 100! These numbers are critically important in weeks where you need to get to 20 under par. Coincidentally, both his PGA Tour wins have been at -20 and his Euro Tour win at the BMW back in June was -19.
9k Range: Kevin Na @ $9,100
Here comes the “sleeps in his own bed” narrative! But it’s honestly more than that when it comes to Na. He’s etched 2 wins within the last 10 years at this event and he comes into this week with four top 8 finishes in his last seven starts over the summer. The iron play has been volatile as always, but nobody get’s it up and down like Kevin Na. Walk em’ in.
8k Range: Corey Connors @ $8,800
Connors sort of limped across the finish line last week after being in contention for much of the tournament at the Sanderson Farms. It still feels like only a matter of time before he wins again. The ball striking numbers are always there and he is great at finding the short grass off the tee. He ranks 2nd in the field in Birdie or Better rates on courses with easy scoring conditions and I expect him to have plenty this week.
7k Range: Russell Henley @ $7,900
Fairways. Greens. Birdie-fests. It’s time to click Russell Henley again. The stats make him 2nd in SG: Approach over his last 24 rounds and he is also top 10 in terms of Course History. Let’s face it, the guy should have won back in August at the Wyndham. Henley is a player with a definitive course fit in terms of success ratios, and this stop is right up his alley.
6k Range: Matthew NeSmith @ $6,700
NeSmith is guy who tends to spike on shorter golf courses which he can lean heavily on his short iron and wedges in terms of approach. He is top 20 statistically in Approach numbers and his GIR numbers go up substantially from with shorter distances in. He also has had success in the Desert-region as he posted top 10 finishes in the Waste Management Phoenix Open and The Shriners last season.
Good luck friends, go cash!
Joe Idone's DFS record since joining OddsChecker
Cuts Made: 44/50
Winners Picked: 3