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Valero Texas Open longshot picks and predictions from the OddsChecker stable of handicappers. Our team of golf handicappers give us their favorite longshot pick for the weekend ahead on Tour.

Valero Texas Open Expert Picks: Our Staff's Top Longshot Picks

We're just one week away from The Masters, and what better way to prepare for Augusta than by padding your bankroll with a longhsot Valero Texas Open winner?

Geoff Fienberg, Tom Jacobs, Sam Eaton, Andy Lack and Rick Gehman give us their favorite Valero Texas Open longshot picks that you definitely don't want to miss.

These longshot picks get as short as +7000 but get as long as a +18000 shot to win it. That means, if that hits, you could turn a $100 bet into $18,000, just in time for The Masters next week!

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Valero Texas Open Longshot Picks

Sam Eaton: Paton Kizzire @ +7000 (Bet $100 to win $7000)

I’d expect this to be a fairly popular play for many this week given his recent form and price, that said, I wouldn’t put people optin to go for Adam Hadwin at a similar price. Anyway, Kizzire finished T9 last year at the Texas Open, and key stats needed to master this course are trending in the right direction.

Kizzire ranks 14th in the last three months in this field when it comes to Ball Striking, 2nd in approach, 4th in scrambling and 9th in T2G. Given the strength of the field, I’m surprised PointsBet are offering +7000, especially when you see FanDuel Sportsbook as short as +5000.

-- Sam Eaton (@SamEaton12)

Andy Lack: Kevin Streelman @ +7500 (Bet $100 to win $7500)

If I was asked to select one player to win this golf tournament, I would pick Kevin Streelman. That’s how confident I am in his chances this week, and I promise, it has nothing to do with our shared alma-mater. The former Duke University standout has made every cut at this tournament, with five top-20 finishes, including an eighth and sixth in his last two appearances. The two-time winner is coming off a seventh at the Valspar where he gained over seven strokes from tee-to-green. I believe he will be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

-- Andy Lack (@adplacksports)

Rick Gehman: Brendan Steele @ +8000 (Bet $100 to win $8000)

The calendar year hasn't been kind to Steele but he's rounding into form with a T26 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and T13 at THE PLAYERS Championship. His ball-striking numbers are right back on track but he continues to be a liability with the putter. That's not much of a concern because that's normal for Steele and in ten trips to TPC San Antonio, he's gained strokes putting five times. He also won this event in 2011.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Geoff Fienberg: Rasmus Hojgaard @+10000 (Bet $100 to win $10000)

Making the ceiling talent play this week on the young European who finished 6th in last week's sub-field event. Rasmus has the game to take full advantage of the opportunity in San Antonio between the course and the field this week. His distance off the tee will create opportunities for him in what I expect to be a birdie fest event that will require scoring around -20 or better for the week.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Tom Jacobs: Kevin Chappell @ +18000 (Bet $100 to win $18000)

After a close call with his namesake in this article last week, I’m going to chance Kevin Chappell can find something special this week.

Chappell has a win, a 2nd, a 4th and a 15th on this golf course, albeit a long time ago, and a return to form last week suggests he could go well at long odds, in a familiar setting. 

It's been tough for Chappell whose slide down the rankings is a lot to do with injury, and hopefully, this very talented golfer can get back in contention, as he seems to have put the worst of his battles behind him. 

-- Tom Jacobs (@TomJacobs93)

Article Authors


Founder of and Golf Host on CBS Sports.

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Known for his vast knowledge and entertaining approach to talking golf, has a documented record picking outright winners on the award winning podcast "The Pat Mayo Experience".


Tom Jacobs is the host of the Lost Fore Words golf podcast and has been writing betting articles on golf for the past decade. Tom also co-hosts the DP World Tour Picks & Bets show on the Mayo Media Network, so has his finger on the pulse on all the major Tours. A long-suffering Nottingham Forest fan, Tom also enjoys watching Soccer at the weekend, and was delighted to see his Forest team win promotion this season!


Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from Manhattan, New York. Andy came to OddsChecker in January 2022 after previously writing for Golf Digest, GolfWRX, Rotoballer, and the Score. Andy is also the host of a golf betting and daily fantasy podcast, Inside Golf Podcast, as well as "The Scramble” with Rick Gehman, and a recurring guest on the Pat Mayo Experience. In his free time, Andy is still grinding away at his lifelong dream of qualifying for the U.S. Amateur, and if not writing, can likely be found somewhere on a golf course.

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