Wells Fargo Championship Expert Picks: Our Staff's Top Longshot Picks

Wells Fargo Championship longshot picks and predictions from our team of golf experts. The OddsChecker stable of golf handicappers come together to give us their favorite Wells Fargo Championship longshot picks for this weekend.
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Wells Fargo Championship Expert Picks: Our Staff's Top Longshot Picks

The Wells Fargo Championship is almost here, and that means so are our Weels Fargo Championship longshot picks from our team of golf handicappers.

Each week, the OC team of golf experts give us their favorite longshot for the upcoming PGA Tour event. This week, it's the Wells Fargo Championship, taking place just outside of Washington, DC.

Geoff Fienberg, Rick Gehman, Sam Eaton, Joe Idone and Andy Lack all break down their favorite longshot for this week and tell us why they'll be backing him to win.

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Wells Fargo Championship Longshot Picks

Andy Lack: Keith Mitchell @ +6500 (Bet $100 to win $6,500)

An argument could be made that outside of Rory, Mitchell is the best driver of the ball in the field. On a course with such an emphasis on the first shot, Mitchell should thrive. He's sneakily had an excellent season, with five Top-15 finishes in 7 stroke-play starts this season. I expect Mitchell to be firmly in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

-- Andy Lack (@adplacksports)

Sam Eaton: Aaron Rai @ +8000 (Bet $100 to win $8,000)

Aaron Rai has been flagged in the long-shot column quite a few times in 2022, and for good reason. When it comes to courses that demand a strong approach play, he’s always going to be of interest.

Long-irons will be key at the Wells Fargo Championship, and Rai ranks 2nd in this field at Prox: 200+, and 26th in Prox: 175-200 in the last six months. His ball-striking and T2G stats also add up. People like Austin Smotherman, Luke List and Martin Laird also come out well of stats models, but I’d put a lot more faith in Rai’s putter compared to them.

-- Sam Eaton (@SamEaton12)

Joe Idone: Matt NeSmith @ +10000 (Bet $100 to win $10,000)

Nesmith is a classic combination of course fit and current form that I believe makes him a valuable wager at 100/1. He's in the midst of an exceptional run in SG: OTT which culminated a few weeks ago with a final grouping on a Sunday at the Valspar Championship. I think Valspar shares some similar characteristics in terms of success indicators that TPC Potomac will present to Tour Pros. Nesmith also ranks 5th in Greens in Regulation % of the previous 24 rounds, which I think will be extremely important in regards to avoiding potential bogeys, a route that Molinari and Stanley were both able to successfully navigate toward a victory that last time we witnessed an event at this golf course.

-- Joe Idone (@TourPicks)

Rick Gehman: Brandon Wu @ +10000 (Bet $100 to win $10,000)

After missing 10 of his first 11 cuts this year, Wu has found something in his game. He's gained strokes on approach in four consecutive measured events and he's made the weekend in five straight starts. Two of those results were Top 3 finishes including his runner-up last week in Mexico. It's clear that he's getting more comfortable on TOUR and finding something in his game.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Geoff Fienberg: Luke List @ +12000 (Bet $100 to win $12,000)

This line popped as very disrespectful to Luke List and as a big Luke List fan, I took some level of personal offense. A winner at Torrey Pines earlier this season, Luke has shown that his best career results have come on difficult courses. The course sets up for Luke with a premium on accuracy and ball striking, putt luck will be required as always.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

ROI 36%

Known for his vast knowledge and entertaining approach to talking golf, has a documented record picking outright winners on the award winning podcast "The Pat Mayo Experience".


Founder of RickRunGood.com and Golf Host on CBS Sports.


Joe Idone is Golf Betting & DFS enthusiast from South Florida. He has spent the last 12 years focused primarily on PGA Tour analysis and isolating profitable golf wagers. In 2020, he profited over $130,000 in DFS Golf and has a longstanding documented history of hitting outright winners.


Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from Manhattan, New York. Andy came to OddsChecker in January 2022 after previously writing for Golf Digest, GolfWRX, Rotoballer, and the Score. Andy is also the host of a golf betting and daily fantasy podcast, Inside Golf Podcast, as well as "The Scramble” with Rick Gehman, and a recurring guest on the Pat Mayo Experience. In his free time, Andy is still grinding away at his lifelong dream of qualifying for the U.S. Amateur, and if not writing, can likely be found somewhere on a golf course.


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