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Memorial Tournament longshot picks and predictions from the OddsChecker golf staff. This week's PGA Tour stop is the Memorial Tournament so we asked our stable of golf handicappers to give us their favorite longshot pick.

Memorial Tournament Expert Picks: Our Staff's Top Longshot Picks

Fresh off last weekend at The Charles Schwab, the OddsChecker stable of golf handicappers are back to give us their Memorial Tournament longshot picks.

This week is a tough one as it's usually the elite names that win this tournament. But, our golf experts have dug through the odds and have their favorite Memorial Tournament longshot pick ready to go for this weekend.

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Memorial Tournament Longshot Picks

Geoff Fienberg: Daniel Berger @ +6000 (Bet $100 to win $6,000)

I'm taking liberties with the term longshot this week since it's the Memorial and as past history suggests, going too deep is a true waste. So, anything north of 50 counts in my book.

+6000 is too high for Berger and is a number based solely on his current results while playing injured. The mere fact Berger played last week and is teeing it up again this week (so close to a major) leads me to believe his health may no longer be a concern.

I anticipate we could see that great early-season Berger form return this week at Muirfield Village.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Rick Gehman: Brendan Steele @ +15000 (Bet $100 to win $15,000)

Steele was in a prolonged slump from the Sony Open to the Honda Classic but he's back to playing to his true DNA. He's now earned six straight cuts and has gained strokes off-the-tee for nine straight events. He will need to find a hot putter to actually win, but he could contend without it.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Click here for the latest Memorial Tournament odds

Joe Idone: Chris Kirk @ +8000 (Bet $100 to win $8,000)

Kirk has managed to continue his solid run of form into the summer, finishing inside the top 15 in 4 of his last 8 starts, including his two most recent events at the PGA Championship and the Charles Schwab. He's been extremely solid from tee to green throughout the run, gaining strokes both OTT and on Approach in his last 10 tournaments played. What really put me over the top in making Kirk a play this week was his elite ability around the greens, ranking 3rd in the entire field over his last 36 rounds played. This is a tough tournament for any longshot to break through the worlds best players, but I feel like Kirk has shown he's up to the task and presents quality value on the 80/1 betting number this week.

-- Joe Idone (@TourPicks)

Tom Jacobs: Patrick Reed @ +6500 (Bet $100 to win $6,500)

Patrick Reed has shown signs of life over the past two starts, and when he starts to do that, you take notice.

Reed is a 9-time winner on the PGA Tour, and still has plenty of years ahead of him. When he starts to play like the multiple winner that he is, you then need to look at the course he is playing and decide whether it is suitable, given his lack of length off the tee.

The answer to that question, when it comes to the Memorial is yes! He has played this event six times, has made the cut every time and in three of those starts finished inside the top-10, including the past two. 5th, 8th and 10th place finishes here show a suitability to this course, and it looks like his ball-striking woes of late are behind him.

Reed ranked 9th and 15th in his past two starts in SG Approach, and last week was a marginal gainer off the tee, which has been a rarity for him. He is never going to gain a ton off the tee due to his lack of distance, but it is no coincidence that he dumped his PXG driver last week, and straight away saw an uptick in his performance off the tee.

65-1 odds on Patrick Reed when he looks to be showing life, and is returning to a course he's played well multiple times, looks difficult to pass up.

Article Authors


Known for his vast knowledge and entertaining approach to talking golf, has a documented record picking outright winners on the award winning podcast "The Pat Mayo Experience".


Founder of RickRunGood.com and Golf Host on CBS Sports.


Tom Jacobs is the host of the Lost Fore Words golf podcast and has been writing betting articles on golf for the past decade. Tom also co-hosts the DP World Tour Picks & Bets show on the Mayo Media Network, so has his finger on the pulse on all the major Tours. A long-suffering Nottingham Forest fan, Tom also enjoys watching Soccer at the weekend, and was delighted to see his Forest team win promotion this season!


Joe Idone is Golf Betting & DFS enthusiast from South Florida. He has spent the last 12 years focused primarily on PGA Tour analysis and isolating profitable golf wagers. In 2020, he profited over $130,000 in DFS Golf and has a longstanding documented history of hitting outright winners.


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