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US Open longshot picks and predictions for this week's major at Brookline. Geoff Fienberg, Rick Gehman, Andy Lack, Joe Idone, Sam Eaton and Tom Jacobs all breakdown who their favorite US Open longshot pick is.

US Open Expert Picks: Our Staff's Top Longshot Picks

The US Open is finally here. So, if you're in need of a US Open longshot pick then you've come to the right place. Each week, we have our stable of golf handicappers give us their favorite longshot bets. This week, with US Open longshot picks, you'll see more familiar names than usual thanks to the deep field.

Geoff Fienberg, Rick Gehman, Andy Lack, Joe Idone, Tom Jacobs and Sam Eaton all break down their favorite US Open longshot picks before Thursday's opening round at Brookline. Make sure you tail these picks in order to hit a massive winner for golf's third major.

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US Open Expert Picks

Tom Jacobs: Tommy Fleetwood @+8000 (Bet $100 to win $7,000)

Tommy Fleetwood has found his form again, and with two majors in the books this year, he has landed a T14 finish at the Masters and a T5 finish at the US PGA, and now comes to the U.S. Open where he has a good record. In his first three U.S. Open starts, he finished T27, 4th and 2nd, and he now comes to another course that looks suitable. He finished T35 last time out, which was a decent warm up, and he can now continue that fine form in this year’s majors.

-- Tom Jacobs (@TomJacobs93)

Andy Lack: Tommy Fleetwood @ +8000 (Bet $100 to win $8,000)

Fleetwood has always had a penchant for U.S. Opens, with numerous close calls at Shinnecock Hills and Erin Hills in back to back years. While he’s struggled in this major since, the Tommy Fleetwood of old seems to be coming back to life. The Englishman is coming off a 14th-place finish at the Masters and a 5th place finish at the PGA Championship, where he overcome the poor side of the weather draw to shoot the best score over the weekend. Expect Fleetwood to ride his strong major form into Boston and be a factor come Sunday afternoon.

-- Andy Lack (@adplacksports)

Geoff Fienberg: Abe Ancer @ +11000 (Bet $100 to win $11,000)

If the US Open does play away from recent profile of winners over the last few years than I believe Abe Ancer will be a player in an ideal position to contend for this championship. Consistently gaining off of the tee this season will allow him to play to his approach strengths while showing enough around the greens for me to think he can be a very worthy player this week.

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Sam Eaton: Mito Pereira @ +6600 (Bet $100 to win $6,600)

It was a tough one for the US Open, and the long shot came down to either Mito Pereira or Aaron Wise. 

I've sides with Mito, due to being a little more reliable when it comes to hitting fairways. Mito ranks 7th in this field when it comes to approach in the last three months, and 2nd in Fairways gained. These greens are going to be firm and tricky to land on, Mito ranks 13th in Shots Gained Total on firm greens over the last six months. 

-- Sam Eaton (@SamEaton12)

Rick Gehman: Kevin Na @ +8000 (Bet $100 to win $8,000)

Na has found magic with his irons, gaining 1.55 strokes per round over his last 24 rounds. That's the 2nd most of anyone in this field, behind just Cameron Smith. Combine that with a rock-solid short-game and Na presents an appealing dart throw.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Joe Idone: Russell Henley @ +12500 (Bet $100 to win $12,500)

My prediction is that we will see significantly more short Wedges hit at this years iteration of the US Open than years past due to a slightly shorter layout, several blind shots into elevated greens that will require pitch outs and layups from the rough, and a pair of Par 5's that will likely be best played as 3 shot holes. That brings players like Russell Henley into the fold as he remains one of the best on Tour from 150 yards and in.

He was able to compete at Torrey Pines last year as he was leading the event going into the weekend and ultimately finished 13th on a course that played over 500 yards longer than the setup this week in Brookline. Beyond gaining strokes on approach in 6 of his last 7 starts, he's accurate off the tee and has a very underrated around the green game as well. I believe there is a lane where Henley can hang around the leaderboard long enough to give you a nice Sunday longshot sweat this weekend.

-- Joe Idone (@TourPicks)

Article Authors

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Known for his vast knowledge and entertaining approach to talking golf, has a documented record picking outright winners on the award winning podcast "The Pat Mayo Experience".


Founder of and Golf Host on CBS Sports.


Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from Manhattan, New York. Andy came to OddsChecker in January 2022 after previously writing for Golf Digest, GolfWRX, Rotoballer, and the Score. Andy is also the host of a golf betting and daily fantasy podcast, Inside Golf Podcast, as well as "The Scramble” with Rick Gehman, and a recurring guest on the Pat Mayo Experience. In his free time, Andy is still grinding away at his lifelong dream of qualifying for the U.S. Amateur, and if not writing, can likely be found somewhere on a golf course.


Joe Idone is Golf Betting & DFS enthusiast from South Florida. He has spent the last 12 years focused primarily on PGA Tour analysis and isolating profitable golf wagers. In 2020, he profited over $130,000 in DFS Golf and has a longstanding documented history of hitting outright winners.


Tom Jacobs is the host of the Lost Fore Words golf podcast and has been writing betting articles on golf for the past decade. Tom also co-hosts the DP World Tour Picks & Bets show on the Mayo Media Network, so has his finger on the pulse on all the major Tours. A long-suffering Nottingham Forest fan, Tom also enjoys watching Soccer at the weekend, and was delighted to see his Forest team win promotion this season!

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