FedEx St. Jude Championship Expert Picks: Our Experts' Longshot Picks

FedEx St. Jude Championship Expert Picks: Our Experts' Longshot Picks

The PGA Tour postseason is finally here and our team of golf experts is excited to bring us their favorite FedEx St. Jude Championship longshot picks. Sure, Cam Smith's move to LIV Golf may be dominating the news, but you won't find him on this list.

Geoff Fienberg, Rick Gehman, Sam Eaton and Tom Jacobs all break down their favorite picks at odds longer than +5000. Who will win the FedEx St. Jude Championship? If it ends up being a longshot you're going to want to make sure you tail these picks.

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FedEx St. Jude Championship Longshot Picks

Geoff Feinberg: Tyrrell Hatton @ +6000 (Bet $100 to win $6,000)

For the purposes of this PGA Tour season, and the fact that this is a FedEx Cup Playoff event, you better believe 60-1 is a longshot.

Hatton's form has been trending very positively for a few weeks now, especially off a very encouraging T10 last week in which he showed his recent results weren't just a product of being on links layouts in Scotland. Hatton is on his best run of the season and I believe an inform Hatton on a course fit is a total misprice at 60/1

-- Geoff Fienberg (@gfienberg17)

Sam Eaton: Russell Henley @ +6000 (Bet $100 to win $6,000)

Two of my main selection for the WGC St Jude Invitational just sit outside the +5000 mark, unfortunately, these being Tom Kim and Shane Lowry.

This leaves me with either Russell Henley or Mark Hubbard. Hubbard has been a costly pick for me of late, despite always ranking well in the model.

Therefore I’m opting for Russell. If you filter everyone’s last 24-rounds in this field, Russell Henley ranks 1st for shots gained approach, 6th for Ball Striking, and 12th for Fairways gained, all key stats needed here.

Henley’s putter is holding him back, as usual, he gained 9.7 shots T2G and 7.8 shots approach at the Wyndham but lost shots putting. He lost 2.4 shots putting at the Rocket Mortgage but still finished 10th.

His putter can get hot, like at the Sony Open and Houston Open. If it clicks, then he’s got every chance.

-- Sam Eaton (@SamEaton12)

Rick Gehman: Seamus Power @ +10000 (Bet $100 to win $10,000)

Power is coming off a missed cut at the Open Championship, but don't fret -- that was his first missed cut in a Major Championship this year, with Top 27 finishes in each of the three. He's proving that he can contend in strong fields and has had plenty of good vibes around TPC Southwind. He finished T27 (2017) and T12 (2018) in his only two trips as a professional. With (12) Top 25 finishes this season, Power is getting comfortable with his name near the top of the leaderboard.

-- Rick Gehman (@RickRunGood)

Tom Jacobs: Seamus Power @ +10000 (Bet $100 to win $10,000)

Seamus Power has stepped up this season, building on his breakthrough victory last year.

In the majors alone, he finished T27 (Masters), T9 (PGA), and T12 (US Open) this season, all of which were debuts.

That shows he's improved greatly as a player, and I like a lot of what I've seen from him overall this season.

Power missed the cut at the Open Championship last time out, but I'm not convinced he is a great links player, so I wasn't surprised, and I think he will bounce back here.

Three events that people discuss when talking about TPC Southwind are, the Mayakoba, RSM and the Sony Open. In these events this season, he finished 11th at the Mayakoba, 4th at the RSM and 3rd at the Sony Open, so if there is any correlation, this should be a great course.

He did play at TPC Southwind twice before when it was just a regular event, and he finished 27th on debut and 12th the following year.

Power was the first-round leader here in 2018, posting an opening 65, and that matched the 65 he shot in the second round the year before, which was one of the best rounds of the day. The scoring has improved since moving in the calendar and transitioning to a WGC, and that should suit Power who can go deep. He's also improved greatly since these two starts.

Chez Reavie and Taylor Pendrith are two more candidates, but Power gets the edge here.

-- Tom Jacobs (@TomJacobs93)