NHL Pick Of The Day 02/14

The Pick Of The Day in the NHL from our hockey expert
Oddschecker
Thu, February 14, 11:12 AM EST

Our hockey expert Sippy took a day off yesterday due to the tiny slate of games but he's back today and looking for another win.

 

Current Record: 2-1, +0.97u

Sippy's unit system ranges from 1.0 to 3.0, with most picks at 1.5 or 2u, but he'll occasionally stray from that - usually displaying a measure of his condidence in the pick.

At Oddschecker we're committed to giving you the best picks possible and we've recruited Reddit-favorite and NHL guru Sippy47 to guide you through the best value bets around.

02/14 - Colorado Avalanche @ Winnipeg Jets

Pick: Winnipeg Jets 3-Way ML (in regulation) -120

Stake: 2u

 

The Jets have a three-game homestand after playing 7 of their 10 games prior away from home, and they've got to be pleased about that as they've won 8 of their last 9 games (7 in regulation) on home ice with the only loss coming in OT to a powerful Sharks team. In that span at home, they've scored a whopping 4.78 goals per game while allowing just 2.56 per game - they're clearly dominating here right now and have all season posting a 21-6-3 record at the Bell MTS Place this season. This is a hard matchup for any team to draw, but especially tough for this Colorado team who's coming into this one having lost 8 straight games and are spiraling farther and farther away from a playoff spot. On this streak it hasn't even really been close in most games as they've allowed 4.38 goals per game while scoring just 2.00 in response during this stretch. They've lost 13 of their last 16 games against teams with winning records and 11 of their last 12 games away from home as they've been even worse on the road. The Jets have won 4 straight against the Avs and 7 straight against them at home, and have beaten Colorado 5-2 and 7-4 in their two contests so far this season (both in Winnipeg), and given the current form of both teams I expect more of the same tonight.

 

Connor Hellebuyck should get the nod in goal tonight, and he's won 5 of his last 7 games and 6 of his last 7 at home with a 2.86 GAA in those contests. He's won 16 of 24 starts at home this season with a 2.82 GAA and has won 6 of 9 career starts against the Avs with a 1.88 GAA in those games. Meanwhile, neither of the Avs' goaltenders has been playing well recently as Varlamov has been getting way more tick but got pulled for Grubauer after giving up 4 goals to Toronto on Tuesday. Varlamov will probably get the start against Winnipeg and he's lost 6 straight starts with a 3.67 GAA in that span. If Grubauer starts, he's been horrible in his last few games losing 3 straight starts with a 5.33 GAA in those games, allowing no fewer than 5 goals in each loss - yikes.

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