Daily Picks 11/02: Goals Gone Wild

NHL expert Chris Wassel's picks for today's hockey action
Chris Wassel
Sat, November 2, 8:19 AM EDT

The NHL fires up 12 evening games (14 overall) on a huge Saturday night slate. There are going to be lots of traps and pitfalls so let’s jump right in!

Here are Today’s NHL Picks:

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Philadelphia Flyers

  • Philadelphia allowed 3+ goals yet again in New Jersey last night – making that five of the previous seven games where they did so.

There was this thought that Philadelphia will continue to bleed goals. Philadelphia has been gouged for 3.5 goals per game while Toronto also yields an identical 3.5 goals per contest. Philadelphia is 1-4-1 away from home giving up 3.8 goals per game. The chances that this game features more than six goals are high. Toronto has too many high-flying weapons and a rested Toronto team versus a defensively tired Flyers squad has goal projections easily near seven combined. Take the over as it has hit in eight of Toronto’s last 11 games and six of Philadelphia’s last nine.

1u – Over 6.5 Total Goals @ -110

New Jersey Devils @ Carolina Hurricanes

  • The Devils have lost each of their last ten road games after coming off an overtime according to statschecker.

New Jersey loves to give up goals at over four per contest. They blew yet another lead last night at home to Philadelphia as they dropped another winnable game. Tonight, is a steep step upward in competition when it comes to the Carolina Hurricanes. The Hurricanes scored seven goals versus Detroit on Friday night. New Jersey has hit the over four consecutive times after a loss this season. The goaltending matchups may help both teams as far as goals too. Cory Schneider goes up against James Reimer and both teams have historical success in chipping in 3+ goals. However, it is Carolina that should be able to win by two or more goals on this night with their firepower.

1u – Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 Goals @ +135

Colorado Avalanche at Arizona Coyotes

  • Colorado played last night so the question is how much do they have in the tank for tonight’s game in Arizona?

The regression is beginning to become real in Colorado. Though they fired 38 shots on Anton Khudobin last night, most of Colorado’s shots and chances were low, maybe medium quality at best. The question has to be asked if the Avalanche are starting to get a little weary from the schedule. This will be their third game in four nights. There is a good deal of risk given Arizona’s last three games have seen the underdog win. However, Arizona has won nine of 12 games versus the spread and is also 7-4-1 on the moneyline. Their loss to Montreal was a bit of a fluky one and a bounce back is expected here. Take the ML and run!

1u – Arizona Coyotes ML @ -117

St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

  • The home team has won each of the Wild’s last eight games-- according to statschecker.

This game pits two teams that can score some goals at times but also can get into a sludge type of matchup where goals do not happen. It is a contest that feels a lot like the matchup between Anaheim and Vancouver last night where there is the downtrodden Anaheim team playing at home and then the goaltender steals the show. Minnesota may start Alex Stalock in this one but none of that has been confirmed as of press time. The St. Louis goalie is in question as well. Minnesota may be 1-8 on the road but they are 3-1 at home and do play much better there. St. Louis may appear in better form, but they were down 3-1 to Columbus last night before getting a bit of a lucky break via a comeback. Take Minnesota with the value.

1u – Minnesota Wild ML @ +115

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By Chris Wassel

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