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JT Miller takes a look at the NHL slate and shares what his favorite plays are. Shockingly, he's all over some overs tonight.
ANALYSIS

NHL Best Bets For Monday: Riding the Overs

There is a rather small slate tonight so rather than just diving into one game, I decided to go over the two I am getting after tonight.

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Vancouver Canucks vs New Jersey Devils

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Neither of these two squads are what we would consider elite offensively by any means but there are some great trends and stats to back us in this one. Both squads are 7-3 in favor of the over across their last ten contests and are playing rather free hockey. The defense will not be the focus tonight, these guys will be looking to outscore each other.

I love pace and early scoring; they are two of the most important factors when looking for goals and it opens up the game. New Jersey is the best goal in first ten minutes (GIFT) team in the league and it has been that way all season. It has cashed in over 71% of their contests this season and is 8-2 L10. New jersey is also 9-1 L10 1P o1.5’s; Vancouver is 4-1 across their last five. 

Neither team will have their number one netminders between the pipes this evening. Vancouver sends out Jaroslav Halak has had a solid career but is on the closing end of it and is a good fade after some recent performances, not to mention the Devils can run up the scoreboard at times.

Nico Daws is simply unproven and considering the performances, the New Jersey Devils goaltenders have put together since Mackenzie Blackwood went down have been piss poor; he’s going to have to show me something if he wants respect. He has made five appearances this season, two in October and three this month. He had solid starts against Buffalo and Pittsburgh but gave up three in twelve minutes to Calgary back in October and four in a loss to Ottawa.

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals

Toronto leads the league in scoring on the road boasting a strong 3.81 GF/G and rank second in power play efficiency outside their barn with an impressive 26.8 percent conversion rate. To be fair, they did jump spots after their recent ten goal barrage in Detroit, but they were still firmly a top-three squad. They got us a few times last week but the offensive firepower they possess is undeniable when they are on. 

They are conceding an average of 3.20 GPG on the road and back up netminder Peter Mrazek will be guarding the net for Toronto. Mrazek is by no means awful, but he is definitely not great and is noticeably worse on the road where he is sporting a 3.42 GAA and sub .880 save percentage. 

Get 150/1 Odds on the Maple Leafs Winning

The Capitals are in a rut so tonight should be a good spot for them to get something going offensively against a poor defensive squad with Toronto. They are playing way too freely in the back half and giving up a lot of HDCA as of late due to the pace at which they are playing and pushing the issue.

Washington is averaging right about three goals both ways when playing at home; they are out of sync but a home game with good pace after an embarrassing loss should get the firepower going.

 I am attacking these games a few different ways. Best of luck to all who tail as always! 

Vamos!

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Born and raised in St. Louis, JT is a young gun in the industry but has already established himself as one of the sharpest. Some refer to him as the "King of the Ice" as a result of his dominance in the NHL, which has been his claim to fame. However, he also excels in other markets including the NFL, MLB, and NCAAF. You can follow JT on Twitter at @RickyBobbyBets.

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