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The Los Angeles Kings visit the Dallas Stars tonight in what is an important Western Conference showdown.

Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Prediction: Expect Tight Checking & Defense in Big D

The Kings currently occupy second place in the Pacific Division with a record of 29-18-7 for 65 points with Vegas and Edmonton right on their tails. LA is coming off an embarrassing 7-0 home blowout loss to Boston on Monday night. The Dallas Stars are currently two points out of the last Wild Card spot, chasing the Edmonton Oilers. They have a record of 29-20-3 for 61 points. Dallas is off a 4-2 win at home vs Buffalo on Sunday afternoon. 

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Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Prediction

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On the road this season, the Kings are averaging 2.85 goals per game and allowing 2.93 goals per game. Both their road power play and penalty kill are bottom 10 in the league away from home. Over their last 10 road games in five on five situations, LA is only averaging 2.2 goals per game and they are allowing 1.7 goals per game. This is meaningful because the Kings average 8.19 PIMS per game on the road, which is 10th least in the league. The Kings are also giving up 7.4 high danger scoring chances per game on the road over their last 10 games, which is second least in the NHL.

Get 150/1 Odds on the Stars Winning

At home this season, the Stars are averaging 3.41 goals per game but only allowing 2.70 goals per game. Dallas has shut down high-powered offenses at home all season, Carolina, Colorado, and Edmonton to name a few. Dallas' home Power play is a solid 23.6 % and their home Penalty Kill struggles at 78.9%, but the Stars are only averaging 6.66 PIMS per game at home, 2nd least in the league. In five on five situations over the last 10 home games, the Stars are scoring 2.2 goals per game and allowing 2.3 goals per game. Dallas is generating 10.5 high danger scoring chances over that time and they are allowing 7.7 high danger scoring chances per game. These teams have met twice this season with both games staying under a total of 5.5, a 4-0 LA win at home in December and a 3-2 Dallas home overtime win in October. Given the importance of playoff seeding in this game and with the Kings off a bad defensive effort I see a low-scoring game with two teams that typically play to the unders when facing each other. I'll go with an alternate line of 6 as a cushion. 

Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Line Movement

Los Angeles Kings vs Dallas Stars Pick

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Article Author


Born and raised in Philadelphia, Tone has been handicapping the four major sports for over twenty years. An NHL enthusiast, Tone’s expertise lies on the ice. He’s excelled and profited finding the right angles on NHL games, particularly with player props, game props, and game totals. A contributor to several gaming sites, you can follow him on Twitter @TonesTakes.


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