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The Toronto Maple Leafs are taking on the Winnipeg Jets tonight. Lightning Locks is here to break down the matchup.
ANALYSIS

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction: A Canadian Shootout

We have an NHL game that actually matters tonight as the Maple Leafs are battling for second in the Atlantic with a long-shot chance to catch Florida for first, so they are fighting for every point while the Jets sit in sixth place in the Central and are fighting to get in the playoffs so they need every point they can get, as well as they are currently out of the playoffs. It's always a fun game when two Canadian teams fighting for positioning and have a game that means so much. 

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction

Winnipeg will be missing a couple of key guys tonight sadly in Kyle Connor and Nate Schmidt and that will hurt as Connor is the leading scorer with 82 points. But, we do have the Jets on zero days rest and they have gone over the last four times as they are playing back to back. They are also 4-1 over as a dog in their last five games. This team is a mid-level defensive team and offensive team but they are awful at two things giving up shots on goals and power plays and guess who is No. 1 in the league at power play scoring? You got it, the Maple Leafs and that's how they will score a few tonight. 

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This is a Maple Leafs team that have to win and it seems every time you look up Toronto is losing in a shootout game and always comes back to win it. In their last 10 games, they have games of 10, 9, 7, 9, 7, 10 goals not bad and show consistency. Also, it's a very important game tonight for Austin Matthews as he is trying to get his 50th goal tonight which hasn't happened in the Toronto franchise very often and not since the 1993-94 season. 

Toronto has its injuries as well and it's a big one as their goalie got hurt in the first period and the backup goalie Erik Kallgren gave up three goals on 26 shots. Let's not forget he is actually the third-string goalie as their No. 1 goalie (Jack Campbell) is still out as of now from his rib injury earlier in the year. The Leafs also lost two defensemen from that game so an offensive powerhouse missing two defensemen and a third-string goalie tonight will lead to a lot of goals for the Jets and the Leafs. The Leafs are already averaging almost four goals a game and we have a bunch of numbers and situations that all point to the over. It would be hard to believe that we don't get at least a 4-3 game tonight. 

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A few books still have 6 -115 but a majority have 6.5 which is still good enough as we don't see less than seven goals in this one, but we are expecting closer to the nine goals we have seen recently. With the defenseman out, with bad goaltending, and the No. 1 power play team against one of the absolute worst, this game has offense written all over it. Let's also not forget Winnipeg's last three games have gone to overtime and five of the last seven before that had seven goals or more. Take the over and let's watch a Canadian shootout tonight in Maple Leaf country.  

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets Pick

Pick: Maple Leafs/Winnipeg Jets O6.5 (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)

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