Lightning vs. Avalanche Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Stanley Cup Game 6

Lightning vs. Avalanche Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Stanley Cup Game 6

Well, the Lightning did it. As +165 underdogs, the Lightning staved off elimination behind another stellar performance from Andrei Vasilevskiy. Luckily for the Avalanche, their 3-1 series lead gives them three chances to win the Stanley Cup. One is gone, leaving two more opportunities. The books are much less confident that the Avalanche will get it done on the road, as their -200 price tag has dropped to -115.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Game 6 Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: June 26, 2022

Time: 8:00 pm ET

Where to Watch: ABC, ESPN+

Click here for the best odds on Lightning vs. Avalanche Game 6

Lightning vs. Avalanche Game 6 Line Movement

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Game 6 Prediction

The Lightning have dominated 5-on-5 play, especially at home. One stat that absolutely blows my mind: over the last three playoff series (Avalanche, Rangers, Panthers), the Lightning have allowed one at home in regulation in 5-on-5 play. That one goal came in the most recent game against the Avalanche, meaning the Lightning had won two series without allowing an even-strength goal on home ice. It's almost hard to believe, considering they played the Florida Panthers' high-powered offense and only allowed one even-strength goal to the Avalanche over two games on home ice. This is due mainly to the high-level, experienced play of Andrei Vasilevskiy but also the Tampa Bay blueliners, who have kept high-danger chances low on their goalie.

Part of Tampa's newfound success in the series after going down 0-2 was putting more shots on net. I've touched on this in the last few articles, but I cannot stress enough how the Lightning need to match the pace of the Avalanche to be successful, and they mostly have. This doesn't change for game six at home. I expect the Lightning to keep the pressure on in the first period, as they have been in the recent games. This is where my player prop on Ondrej Palat comes in.

Ondrej Palat has been a key component of the Tampa offense in the postseason, and he has 14 points in 10 home games in this year's playoffs. He has scored at least one point in every home game this postseason except for the most recent home game against the Avalanche.

Ondrej Palat will be playing on the line with Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov, making this the highest-scoring line for the Lightning in the postseason by far. The three have a combined 29 goals this postseason, scoring nearly half of Tampa's total 66 postseason goals. Palat is also the highest-scoring Lightning player this postseason with eleven goals. Palat should see a lot of ice time tonight, and he is on a line with two offensive geniuses. It's safe to say this line will secure at least one goal tonight, and in that case, Palat has an excellent chance to either assist that goal or score it. Back Palat to hit a point at home once again to make it ten of eleven home games with at least one point. I also think that point comes in an assist, but I wouldn't be shocked to see him score either.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Colorado Avalanche Game 6 Picks

• 1U: Ondrej Palat Over 0.5 Points (-140) (Bet $140 to win $100)
• .5U: Ondrej Palat Over 0.5 Assists (+152) (Bet $100 to Win $152)

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