Formula 1 Odds and Betting: Red Bulls and Alpine The Way To Go In Dutch Grand Prix
With not much value to be found this weekend in the overall race winner, we have had to look elsewhere this week for the value and with a +150 and +200 pick we are raring to go for Sundays first Grand Prix in the Netherlands for 36 years.
Dutch Grand Prix Race Predictions & Preview
Formula1 has a lot of face saving to do ahead of this weekend’s Gp following the farce that took place in Belgium last weekend. As if waiting for the rain to stop for over three hours wasn’t bad enough, certain bookmakers decided to pay out on the official race result, which left many motorsports betters with a bad taste in their mouth given the fact the Belgium Gp was eventually run over just two laps behind a safety car.
The shortened race was contested over the minimum distance required for an official result to be declared under F1 regulations, and bookmakers’ rules stipulate that they will settle according to official FIA results.
There was half points awarded to each driver following the Belgium result and that means there is now just three points separating 7 time world champion Lewis Hamilton and the young pretender Max Verstappen.
This will be the first Dutch Gp for 36 years, it was a track that many drivers loved back in the old days. No home grown driver has won the Dutch Gp before and Verstappen will be hoping his orange army can help him to break that duck on Sunday. A victory would also guarantee Verstappen would take the lead in the overall championship.
Kimi Raikkonen announced on Wednesday, following 21 years in the sport. To date he has competed in 345 races, winning on 21 occasions and had a total of 103 podium finishes. The veteran Finn’s seat at Alfa Romeo is expected to be taken by fellow Finn Valtteri Bottas next year, with George Russell taking his place at Mercedes.
Overall Race Winner is Difficult To Call
This track could favour Mercedes as it is similar to the Hungaroring circuit, which we raced at just over a month ago. Hamilton managed to place his Mercedes on pole that day, so will we see similar results in qualifying on Saturday? It’s certainly going to be tough to call the race winner here as both cars seem pretty even at this stage of the season.
We really can’t separate either driver this weekend, even if one qualifiers on pole it won’t necessarily mean they will go on to win the race, both Hamilton and Verstappen are currently +110 to win Sundays race and we believe it’s best to stay away from that market this weekend, no value to be found at least pre qualifying. Maybe post qualifying or in play is where you might have to look for the race winner’s market value this weekend.
Sergio Perez Poised For Bounce back
The Mexican driver is looking to rebound in a big way this weekend in the Netherlands. Verstappen’s teammate has finished well out of contention in the past three GP’s, finishing in 16th, 19th and a DNF (did not finish).
However, Perez is a world class driver and has played a key role in the success of Verstappen thus far this season. I like the odds on a Perez podium at +200 for a variety of reason, one alone being that its very good value. Had Perez had respectable finishes in his past three races we would be looking at around a +100 for a podium finish this Sunday.
Dutch GP Race Pick: Sergio Perez Podium Finish @ +200
Alpine Coming Into Form
Although Fernando Alonso and Estaban Ocon have both only finished inside the points on four occasion this season, two of those four were within the past three races and we arguably could be saying three in a row had we had a full Belgium Gp race.
At +150 I believe there to be some significant value in this bet, although we do need both to finish inside the top ten. Alonso has finished inside the top ten on 8 occasions this season and Ocon a further 7.
The Alpines have come back from the summer break on the up and they seem to be looking stronger, much stronger than they were at the start of the season.
Dutch GP Race Pick: Both Alpine Drivers Top 10 @ +150
Formula 1 Prediction: Dutch Grand Prix Picks
Sergio Perez Podium Finish @ +200
Both Alpine Drivers Top 10 @ +150