United States Grand Prix Odds and Betting: Mercedes Straight Line Speed Gives Them Pocket Aces

United States Grand Prix betting and predictions from handicapper Eric Kelly for this weekend's Formula 1 race.
Eric Kelly
Sat, October 23, 5:43 AM EDT

United States Grand Prix Odds and Betting: Mercedes Straight Line Speed Gives Them Pocket Aces

It's become somewhat apparent now that Mercedes have the faster car at this moment in time, and their straight-line speed seems to be giving them the edge over Red Bull. This will be a very difficult race for Max Verstappen to come away with a win, and damage limitation is most likely his and Red Bulls approach to this weekend.

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United States Grand Prix Race Preview 

The Circuit of the Americas is one of the longest laps on the 2021 calendar, with an average lap time taking roughly about 1 minute and 40 seconds. Its also one of the anti-clockwise tracks on the calendar. The main feature of the track is, of course, the steep incline which leads into turn one. It can be a tricky corner to tackle on lap one when their a ton of drivers all fighting for the same race line. 

There is only six points separating championship front runner Verstappen and seven-time champion Lewis Hamilton. Like we discussed already, the straight-line speed for Mercedes has seemingly given them an advantage over Red Bull and Hamilton is about to fight harder than ever to get on the winning podium spot and reclaim 1st place in the championship standings. Following free practice one, we have seen Verstappen a whopping 0.932 seconds off the peace. This is a LOT in the world of Formula1.

It's all to race for with just six rounds remaining. It's the closest championship battle we have had for a few years because usually, Hamilton has had it won and wrapped up with 6/7 races to go, and usually mathematically sown up with three or four races left on the calendar. We all want to see this championship go to the wire.

Valtteri Bottas Can Finish Inside The Top 3

Bottas finished practice 1 in first place, and he also won last time out in Turkey. So it's clear by now we think Mercedes is fast. Arguably we all know the top three is more often than not two Mercedes and Verstappen's Red Bull as Sergio Perez hasn't stepped up to the mark this year. Bottas has finished ahead of Perez on 11 out of 16 occasions thus far this season, and to make the stats even worse for Perez, Bottas also failed to finish two more races than the Mexican. Yes, McLaren is probably more of a concern than Perez these days, but even they have failed to impress much over the past two races. 

The reason we are getting some good odds on Bottas to finish inside the top three is that he has a five-place grid penalty to take for Sundays race, but given the strength and speed of his Mercedes, we think he can get up there.

Bottas Podium Finish (-110)

Classified Drivers Have Been Cashing All Year Long

We have seen over 17.5 classified drivers in 14 of 16 races this season. A stat like that is just too good to ignore. The drivers have been really good at finishing races this season, With that being said, the USA GP has been a bad track for race finishers, and there has been an average of 4.5 DNF's over the previous five races.

We are prepared to take the chance that we see over 3.5 nonclassified drivers here. It's a harsh track for the cars and drivers. The race should be very exciting, and I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see one or two drivers not make it to the end of the first lap. Things get quite messy at the American GP on lap one.

Under 17.5 Classified Drivers (-110)

Formula 1 Odds: United States Grand Prix Picks

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