NASCAR Xfinity Series Preview and Best Bets: Pit Boss 250 Predictions
NASCAR Xfinity Series Preview and Best Bets: Pit Boss 250 Predictions
Road racing isn't everyone's thing...but the brain trust in the @speedwaysteve2 headquarters cannot wait for this weekend. The Circuit of the America's raceway is a world-class track, as evidenced when Formula One visits every year. We have another starting grid that will be sprinkled with Cup Series drivers. Again, we need to keep an eye on those guys, as they will more than likely be on differing pit strategies that favor an outright win, rather than collecting stage points throughout.
NASCAR Pit Boss 250 Winner Odds
1.0 Ty Gibbs to finish better than AJ Allmendinger (+110) (Bet $100 to Win $110)
*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*
This is a tough matchup, but it's a winner. That should help you with your decision-making if you're still mulling it over.
Allmendinger is widely recognized as the current Xfinity GOAT of road racing. We aren't doubting his abilities on this type of circuit, but if you hang around long enough, eventually someone takes your crown. Ty Gibbs hasn't been in the spotlight very long, only logging 23 career Xfinity Series starts. 5 of those starts were at road courses, and he won 2 of them. That's 40% (math). We're talking about Ty Gibbs winning on a Nascar road course at the same rate as prime Steph Curry draining a 3-ball.
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Kyle Busch was driving the Joe Gibbs #54 Toyota last year at Cota, which is Ty's car this year. We've definitely got a notebook full of gems from a wise veteran to work with. Not to mention Busch won the race, had the fastest green flag speed, was fastest late in a run, rated the fastest in all four segments, and led 34 of 45 laps. Whew. The #54 is the right horse to back here, we will just need Gibbs to get it home in one piece.
Let's talk about the "Dinger." Allmendinger is a very accomplished road racer having won last year in the Cup Series at the Indianapolis road course. He's won 4 roadies in the Xfinity Series in 14 attempts (28.6%). Think of Ben Wallace at the charity stripe in 2000-2001. Yikes. That stat becomes murkier when you take out the 3 straight Charlotte Roval wins. We also think that Kaulig has taken a step back in equipment this year, judging from what we've seen throughout the season thus far. The "Dinger" may have the purest road course skill in the field, but Gibbs should have the equipment edge and has won on this stage before.
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1.0 Sheldon Creed to finish better than Bubba Wallace (+100) (Bet $100 to Win $100)
*Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing*
It's the easiest fade of my life. Bubba is going to be driving the #18 for Joe Gibbs, which is undoubtedly good equipment. But there's a reason he's in this race, though. He lacks the skill in and out of braking zones. We've learned our lesson the hard way a few times fading Bubba in superspeedway settings, but we know better than to back him on a road course. His Cup Series numbers are putrid, never finishing higher than 13th in 15 starts.
Sheldon Creed has quietly put together a solid season. He's 12th in points during his rookie campaign, tallying 3 top-ten finishes along the way. Creed added a win at the Daytona Road Course in the Truck Series last year, and a 5th place finish here in Austin. Creed will also have the advantage of added track time since he is running the Truck event earlier in the day.
Creed's the guy...no doubt about it.
Keep an eye out for our Cup Article, as well as Formula 1 article if the missiles stop flying in Saudi Arabia.