NASCAR Xfinity Series Preview and Best Bets: ToyotaCare 250
NASCAR Xfinity Series Preview and Best Bets: ToyotaCare 250
The Xfinity Series heads to Richmond, Virginia this weekend and they take on a 0.75 mile short track. They say Virginia is for lovers, but this weekend, Virginia is for winners...and that's totally us.
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NASCAR Xfinity Series ToyotaCare 250 Best Bets
Risk 1.65u to win 1.5u - Ryan Preece to finish better than Daniel Hemric (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*
One of my favorite things to do on a spring Saturday afternoon is cutting the grass. Nothing says spring is here like throwing down some mean stripes on the front yard, and edging the sidewalks while wearing all-white New Balances. That gives me a lot of time to think about my other favorite Saturday afternoon past-time...fading Daniel Hemric.
Last year's championship winner is having a tough go recently. He's finished 25th or worse in his last three races and hasn't led a lap in the last four. We've also noticed that his new Kaulig team should be considered a bit of an equipment downgrade moving forward.
Hemric secured the championship last season by winning the finale at Phoenix in his Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota. He led 48 laps that day and had an average running position of 2.2. When he returned in 2022 behind the wheel of the Kaulig Chevrolet, he was not the least bit competitive for the win, finishing eighth and never leading a lap. Comparing Richmond to Phoenix is not exactly apples-to-apples, but it is a good barometer. In Hemric's last visit to Richmond in Fall 2021, his average running position was 7.3, and ultimately finished 6th. He was in the JGR equipment then but wasn't nearly the horse of the course like he was at Phoenix. We project Hemric in the 9th-12th place finish range.
Ryan Preece straps into an Xfinity Car for the first time since his four-race slate in 2019 with JR. Motorsports. For what its worth, he finished in the top-ten in all four of those starts. He will be flying under the radar this time, after inking a deal to drive for perennial back-marker BJ McCloud motorsports. But it's all a big rouse, as Preece is the official Stewart Haas Racing backup driver. Preece will have the full support of SHR, but more importantly, excellent funding. He's basically in disguise. We can only hope Preece will be wearing a fake mustache with big glasses and a plastic nose. We've seen strong runs from usual back-marker squads when they get funding from a powerhouse team and a name-brand driver, such as Preece. If you're feeling bold, we've also sprinkled Preece to win outright at +1800.
Risk 1.0u to win 1.5u - Ty Gibbs to finish inside of the Top-Three (+150) (Bet $100 to Win $150)
*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*
It's a tough thing, to get back up on the horse after you've been thrown off. And trampled. It seems like we can never get on the right side of this guy. But we're going to give him another chance to make things right with us. We're playing this one at Draftkings, since MGM is hanging +130, and Sugarhouse is shaving pennies at +145. If those are your only outs, go ahead and get down, because Gibbs is definitely cashing this one.
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At Phoenix, Ty Gibbs had a car strong enough to battle for the win but was spun early by @speedwaysteve2 favorite, Josh Berry. That put Gibbs behind the eight-ball for the rest of the day, as he had to stretch a used set of scuffs super-long because he would have been down a set of tires to the field. Impressively, he battled all the way back to sixth place. Gibbs has also raced at Richmond before. Although he finished 7th, he was first in green flag speed, and second in overall speed late in a run. We have no doubts about how elite this #54 Joe Gibbs Toyota is, and expect him to bring another fast racecar that will compete for the win. Gibbs seems to like these high-wear tracks, and we project Gibbs to easily finish within the top three.
Stay tuned for our Cup Series Best Bets, coming soon!