NASCAR Camping Worlds Truck Series at Martinsville Predictions: Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 200
NASCAR Camping Worlds Truck Series at Martinsville Predictions: Blue-Emu Maximum Pain Relief 200
This is one of my favorite weeks in racing to be a fan. Unfortunately, as a content creator, deadlines come a bit quicker, and the handicap time gets thin. But when the trucks hit the pavement on Thursday night under the Martinsville lights, all that stress melts away.
Martinsville is the smallest track on the Nascar schedule, measuring 0.526 miles with only 12 degrees of banking. We're packing in 36 of the world's most impatient truckers at "the Paperclip." Let's collectively hold our breath for 200 laps.
Any Derek Kraus prop is fun to have at a short track. He's a bulldozer without a working brake pedal. But we already talked about my new broom, and this is the week we're going to use it. Instead of a wildcard, let's start out with a proven commodity.
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Risk: 1.65u to win 1.5u - Kyle Busch outright winner (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100) (-112 Sugarhouse/BetRivers)
*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*
Taking a selection like this makes me very grateful that the head brass at OddscheckerUs don't pay us by the word. This is mostly a consensus market price, but make sure you're shopping it if you're reading this after practice and qualifying.
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Kyle Busch and his entire KBM motorsport team have undoubtedly the best equipment in the series. What happens when you literally put a MAN behind the wheel against these kids? Domination. Busch has run his own truck at Martinsville twice since 2016, winning both. He led 123 laps in 2016 and 174 in 2019. It's almost not fair that we're able to bet this thing, but the books put a number on it...so I'm in.
2.0u to win 2.1u - William Byron Top-5 finish (+105) (Bet $100 to Win $105)
*Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing*
I cannot imagine the pressure of being the oddsmaker that posts opening lines for the market. That's a job I would not want, and you could not pay me enough to take it. But being the second guy to post odds, that's a no-brainer right? In theory, you can monitor the action and correct it so that your numbers are sharper. We're talking about billion-dollar companies with all-access passes to everything sports, mountains of data, and teams of people to come to the right conclusion. Draftkings was the first to put this prop out there, and they hung -400 on it. A fair price in our estimation. Unbetable, but fair.
We all need to write a thank you note to the guy who posts NASCAR lines at BetMGM. After we all get those sent off, we'll need to help to the poor fella find a new job. It takes a village, am I right?
Let's talk cup stats. Since 2019, William Byron has raced in six Martinsville races and finished in the top-5 in three of those starts, including both races in 2021. He led 9 laps last year at Martinsville, was 4th and 5th in the overall speed metric, and is ranked 8th in overall driver rating during that time period. Keep in mind, this is against the cream of the crop in the Nascar Series. But with a field full of dopes, we get an upper echelon Cup Series driver at a plus price...and 4 dollar discount from the rest of the market. Yikes. We're not worried about the equipment here, as we don't think it'll be an issue. This one is a slam dunk. Be responsible, but this is the equivalent of prime Blake Griffin in a layup line.
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