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Here's a preview and two best bets from the Truck Series Rackley Roofing 200 from our guy Phil Bobbitt. Who should you be backing this weekend?
ANALYSIS

NASCAR Camping World Truck Series Rackley Roofing 200 Predictions: Backing Zane Smith and Derek Kraus

Welcome back, race fans! We took the majority of last weekend off to catch our breath along with most of Nascar since we've reached the halfway mark of the season. Thank you for reading our content thus far, and we sincerely hope you enjoy betting on racing for the rest of this season and beyond.

Nashville Raceway is a unique concrete track measuring 1.33 miles in length with relatively flat banking. We will be using a dataset from the last two years at Phoenix, Richmond, Nashville and a sprinkle of New Hampshire to predict this thing.

The practice session begins Friday at 4 pm, followed immediately by qualifying. Let's lock in value before the 8 pm green flag tonight!

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Zane Smith to finish higher than John Hunter Nemechek (-103) (Bet $103 to win $100)

Bookmakers are starting to figure it out, but they're not quite there yet. We have cashed a fistful of Zane Smith head-to-head matchups over John Hunter in recent weeks, all at a healthy plus money clip. Zane has been the most consistent performer on the circuit this year. At the beginning of the year, we wondered how he would fare with this new team and the quality of the ride. Would it be more or less than what he was driving last year when he was a thorn in JHN's side?

His 2022 performances have put any doubts to rest. Let's talk turkey. Last year in this race, Zane's metrics showed he was the fastest truck overall in the race, while Nemechek was 13th. Smith's green flag speed (4th) was also way ahead of what Nemechek (14th) was able to produce.

The edge we have with Smith becomes more apparent as we dig in a bit deeper. In our custom dataset, Smith's average running position is 5.8 compared to 15.0 for Nemechek. Both men have very similar stats for average laps led and fast laps, but there is incredible value in taking the driver with the more consistent results and nose for the front at this track type.

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Derek Kraus to finish inside the Top-5 (+350)(Bet $100 to win $350)

Since the Zane Smith play should cash with ease, let's get a little bit bold. Derek Kraus was THE fastest truck throughout most of last year's race in Nashville, before an accident ended his day early. The best part, this guy is completely in-form. Last weekend he finished sixth. Two weeks ago at Gateway, he wheeled it home in seventh. His last five oval race green flag speeds have ranked 7,9,11,8,5. The #19 Napa crew have found this human wrecking ball some speed, and it has been translating into much better finishes. Kraus will break through and when he does, don't you want to be able to brag to your friends about it? Sprinkle Kraus outright to win at Fanduel +3000.

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Phil and Steve are lifelong buddies from the Philadelphia area. They specialize in all things motorsports and turned in a 131.3 unit profit in 2021.

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