Oct 30, 12:02pm | 4 min read

NASCAR Prediction, Pick, Odds: Backing Bubba Wallace at Xfinity 500

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Phil Bobbitt is here with his NASCAR Xfinity 500 prediction, pick, and best odds. Come find out who he's backing with Sunday's NASCAR picks.

ANALYSIS

NASCAR Prediction, Pick, Odds: Backing Bubba Wallace at Xfinity 500

The head brass at NASCAR isn't doing bettors any favors this weekend. Sure, there's value everywhere on the board...but they named this race the Xfinity 500. The Saturday division that we just swept the board on yesterday is called the Xfinity Series. It's a sneaky trick to try to keep us out of the gambling waters. Lucky for us, we're no quitters.

Here's the skinny, I'm exhausted. This has been a grueling season. Three to five races per weekend, and if you follow us on Twitter, you know that we love volume. We've got this short-track beauty on Sunday and the Phoenix season finale next weekend before we hang it up for a few months. We've made over 2,500 selections this year. Nuts.

Click here to claim a bunch of amazing offers for NASCAR's Xfinity Series or any other NASCAR Race!

NASCAR Xfinity 500 Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

Date: Saturday, October 30, 2022
Time: 2:00 pm ET
Where to Watch: Peacock

Click here for Xfinity 500 odds

NASCAR Xfinity 500 Prediction

1.1u to win 1.0u - Bubba Wallace to finish ahead of Daniel Suarez (-110) (Bet $100 to collect $190) Get the best odds, available at DraftKings

1.05u to win 1.0u - Austin Dillon to finish ahead of Daniel Suarez (-105) (Bet $100 to collect $195) Get the best odds, available at DraftKings

If you don't have these two matchups listed at your available shops, you would be fine just picking anyone against Daniel Suarez this week. We love the other Trackhouse wagon this weekend piloted by Ross Chastain but we can't get behind Suarez in this spot.

Get your airplane barf bag ready. Daniel Suarez stinks at Martinsville. He's a futility all-timer at "The Paperclip." His finishes since 2017 at this Virginia short track are 32,15, 18, 9, 10, 31, 27, 27, 32, 28, 29. With between 36-38 cars taking the green flag, we don't need a math degree to figure Suarez is basically a back marker on this layout.

Austin Dillon and Bubba Wallace both have better driver ratings and average running positions by a significant margin in this year's comparable track matrix. Dillon even averages 12.2 fast laps per race, which is good for 11th best overall.

Both of these drivers spend more time in the Top-15 on average per race and are several positions better at the 90% completion mark of each race.

You can pick nearly anyone to go head-to-head with Suarez this weekend and feel great about it. All of team Trackhouse's resources will be directed towards Ross Chastain as they try to lock him into the Championship Four. It shouldn't be this easy to grab a sweep, but here we are!

NASCAR