Saturday Racing Picks 10/05: Shadwell Turf Mile

Sweet Lou Monaco analyzes Saturday's racing at Keeneland
Lou Monaco
Fri, October 4, 10:24 PM EDT

A huge day of racing across the nation takes place on Saturday with one that stands out, the $1 million Grade 1 Shadwell Turf Mile for three-year-olds and up over one mile at Keeneland.

The field of 14 is set for race 10 of the 11-race card and has an approximate post time of 6:15 p.m. ET, with the winner receiving an automatic berth in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Mile on Saturday, Nov. 2 at Santa Anita.

 

#5, Bowies Hero, Flavien Prat, 8-1

 

Bowies Hero will be making his 21st career start (7-1-3), fifth this year (1-0-1) and makes 14th straight graded stakes start. After capturing the G2 Eddie Read Stakes by 2 ¼ lengths at Del Mar on July 21, he came back in his last and placed a disappointing fifth as the favorite in the G2 Del Mar Mile Handicap on Aug. 18. Traffic troubles diminished his chances down the stretch and Flavien Prat knew he made an error in judgement in his ride. I’m trusting that he has learned from his mistake and will improve for trainer Philip D’Amato., especially with his late kick. The pick.

 

#4, Valid Point, Javier Castellano, 5-1

 

So far so good for Valid Point, who is the mild morning-line favorite entering the race, after winning his first three races of his career, highlighted by a one length victory over Van Beethoven (another entrant in today’s race) in the $500,000 G1 Secretariat Stakes at Arlington on Aug. 10, the first graded stakes of his career. Will be going up against older horses be too much with only one stakes race to his resume? If anybody can figure it out, it’s his trainer Chad Brown. It also doesn’t hurt regular rider Javier Castellano is back aboard again for his fourth straight start. Runner-up.

 

#6, Admission Office, Jose Ortiz, 8-1

 

An intriguing entrant in today’s race is Admission office for trainer Brain Lynch and jockey Jose Ortiz. In seven career starts, he has finished in the money in all of them (3-3-1), including three starts this year (1-1-1). With a second-place finish in the G2 Dixie Stakes (1/2 length back to Catholic Boy) at Pimlico on Preakness Day two starts back and a third-place showing just barely by a head behind All Right (2nd) and March to the Arch (1st) in the G2 Wise Dan Stakes at Churchill Downs on June 15. An obvious argument could be made he should be 3-for-3 in wins this year. Tough and gritty. Contender.

 

#13, Divisidero, Julian Pimentel, 12-1

 

The seven-year-old Divisidero will be making his 29th career start (7-6-4) and his sixth this year (1-3-0). In his last start, he won by a length as the second choice in the $150,000 G3 Red Bank Stakes at Monmouth on Sept. 1. This will also be his 26th graded stakes start in his career. Never out of anything, keeps grinding and has a huge heart. In the mix.

 

PICKS: 5-4-6-13

 

By Lou Monaco

Lou Monaco
loumonaco
Sweet Lou is a sportswriter with a passion and skill for picking winners on the track. Lou always knows when there's a horse you should be backing, whether it's the favorite or a longshot.
Mar 2020
Record
Wins
3
Losses
10
Push
0
ROI
84.62%
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