Saturday's Racing Picks 10/19: Raven Run Stakes

Lou Monaco looks to continue his run of winning picks in the Raven Run Stakes at Keeneland today
Lou Monaco
Sat, October 19, 10:57 AM

The second to last weekend at Keeneland is in full swing and the second to last Saturday offers the $250,000 Grade 2 Raven Run Stakes for 3 year olds fillies over 7 furlongs over the dirt.

The field of 11 will go to gate for race 9 of the 10-race card with an approximate post time of 5:30 p.m. ET.

 

#9, Horologist, Joe Bravo, 5-1

 

Horologist has finished in the money in six of her seven starts this year, including a string of four straight, highlighted by a ¾ of a length win over Jaywalk (ironically ridden by Joe Bravo) in the Grade 3 Monmouth Oaks at Monmouth Park on Aug. 17. In her last start, the streak ended with a third-place finish behind Guarana and winner Street Band in the $1 million Cotillion Stakes at Parx on Sept. 21. The New Jersey-bred filly teams up with Jersey legend Joe Bravo for trainer Richard Baltas, both of whom captured the G3 Pin Oak Valley View Stakes on Thursday here aboard 10-1 longshot Lady Prancealot (IRE). The jockey/trainer clicked for a big win just 24 hours ago and with the consistency this filly has shown in her recent stretch, I like the chances. The pick.

 

#11, Irish Mischief, Mike Smith, 12-1

 

In 9 career starts, Irish Mischief has always been in the hunt (2-5-1), including her last four where she has finished either first or second (1-3-0). Outrun as the favorite in her last, finishing second two lengths off the pace to longshot Lady T N T ($76.80) in the $300,000 Grade 3 Charles Town Oaks at Charles Town on Sept. 21. While Joel Rosario rode the last, Mike Smith hops aboard for this journey from outside post 11 at odds of 12-1. Yes, Mike Smith at 12-1 in a graded stakes race. The jockey switch, the improve is waiting to be delivered but will it be enough for trainer Brad Cox. I’ll tell you one thing she will be there at the end. Runner-up.

 

#3, Indian Pride, John Velazquez, 7-2

 

Indian Pride romped by eight lengths in her debut, with Javier Castellano aboard, in a maiden special weight at Saratoga on Aug. 28.  Trainer Chad Brown loves her potential and is giving this spot a shot for her first graded stakes in just her second start. John Velazquez takes over the saddle. Is it the right thing to do so quickly in her career or will she bounce from her maiden 90 Beyer earned in her last. I’m tending to think the later. Contender.

 

#6, Restless Rider, Brian Hernandez, Jr., 4-1

 

Restless Rider has started in six straight graded stakes, including five Grade 1s. Last year, she won the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades Stakes here on Oct. 5, 2018 by 2 ½ lengths over Reflect. She finished second to Out for a Spin by a neck in the Grade 1 Ashland Stakes here on April 6. However in her last finished a very disappointing 12th in the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks on May 3 at Churchill Downs. Brian Hernandez Jr. will once again will be aboard as they leave from post position No. 6. Hernandez and the tremendous experience Restless Rider has cannot be overlooked. In the mix.

 

PICKS: 9-11-3-6

 

By Lou Monaco

Lou Monaco
loumonaco
Sweet Lou is a sportswriter with a passion and skill for picking winners on the track. Lou always knows when there's a horse you should be backing, whether it's the favorite or a longshot.
Mar 2020
Record
Wins
3
Losses
10
Push
0
ROI
84.62%
0Betslip

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