Sunday’s seventh race at Santa Anita is the Grade 3 Sweet Life, which will be contested at 5 1/2 furlongs on the turf course. The feature has drawn a field of eight 3-year-old fillies, and from a betting standpoint, I think there’s a lot to like. Without further ado, let’s dive in!
The Beatable 6/5 Favorite
#6 LAURA’S LIGHT has done very little wrong to this point. The daughter of Constitution won her debut, finished second in the Grade 3 Jimmy Durante, and went wire-to-wire in the Blue Norther. In many ways, she makes a lot of sense.
However, she cuts back in distance pretty significantly here. Laura’s Light has done her best running going two turns. There’s nothing saying she can’t sprint, but it’s tough to see her making the lead and sitting a picture-perfect trip, and that may be what she needs in order to win this. At her likely price, I see fit to play against her (at least on top).
Another Chance for a 6-1 Shot
Longtime readers may remember that I liked #3 ORQUIDIAS BIZ a bit in the Grade 2 Santa Ynez. As it turned out, she just wasn’t on the same level as Bast and Auberge, two of the better 3-year-old fillies in the country, and she settled for fourth.
However, I’m happy to bet her back in this spot, especially at or near her 6-1 morning line price. She won on this turf course in October, and this spot represents significant class relief. Furthermore, there’s some speed to her inside, and I think she’ll be able to sit back and make a big run late.
A Price to Throw In
Admittedly, I’m going out on a bit of a limb, but I think there are some things to like about #7 ROADRUNNER’S HONOR. She’s 12-1 on the morning line in what will be her turf debut, but her turf Tomlinson figure of 281 hints that she could want the grass. Additionally, if you toss the Grade 1 Starlet, where she was last in a field of five, her record looks considerably better.
Given the likely race shape, I think closers stand to do pretty well. One of them is my top pick, and this one gets a spot on my exotics tickets.
How I’ll Play It
I’m headed back to the well one more time with Orquidias Biz. She’s my key horse in exactas, and I’ll have win money on her at 4-1 or higher.
(2u) Exacta key box: 3 w/6,7
(2u) Win: 3 (at 4-1 or higher)