Lead Horse Racing handicapper John DaSilva is back to give us his picks for Friday's races at Churchill Downs.
Want more expert Horse Racing analysis? Our sister site RacingPicks.com has insight from the likes of Matt Bernier and Peter Fornatale throughout the week.
Race 10 – Pick #5 Mr Freeze (6-1 ML) - Click here to bet with TVG
The scratch of Bodexpress has completely changed complexion of the race. The race is now lacking a quality pacesetter, so someone is going to have to take charge and try to steal it on the front end. Mr. Freeze has shown the ability to do that. In the Grade 1 Pegasus World Cup is set the pace and eventually finished second to Mucho Gusto. He followed that effort with a victory Grade 2 Gulfstream Park Mile with Manny Franco aboard, who will be on him today. Dale Romans barn has been winning lately. So, a horse saddled by the trainer that is second on the all-time list for victories at Churchill Downs could be a nice overlay to play here.
Race 11 – Pick #1 Horologist (4-1 ML) - Click here to bet with TVG
Everyone is excited to see Monomoy Girl back at the races. She has done what she is supposed to do in both starts this year. Horse that is 5-4-1-0 at Churchill Downs makes her final start prior to an expected rematch with Midnight Bisou in the BC Distaff. Things are not going to be easy for her and it would not be surprising to see her get upset today. Horologist drew the rail and comes off a victory in the Grade 3 Molly Pitcher Stakes at Monmouth Park. The Bill Mott trainee now gets services John Velazquez for this spot. She drew the rail and has the tactical speed that makes her extremely dangerous against these. Mott is another trainer that knows how to win at Churchill as he is the third leading trainer all time there. With Monomoy Girl in the race, Horologist is a definite overlay here.
Race 12 – Pick #4 Speech (5-1 ML) - Click here to bet with TVG
This is the race everyone has been waiting for. Swiss Skydiver versus Gamine. The winner will be called the best in her division and is the probable Eclipse Award Champion. Problem is, there are other talented horses in this race that are capable of upsetting to favorites. Speech comes off an impressive victory in the Grade 1 Ashland Stakes at Keeneland. Mike McCarthy trainee has the tactical speed to stalk to favorites and watch them run each other into submission. When that happens, Speech will just take over the lead and draw off for the victory. McCarthy has done an outstanding job with stakes runners like City of Light and Ce Ce. He is a definite future superstar in this industry and at the rate he is going right now. This might be considered an upset today, but it will be commonplace for him to win races like this in the future.
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