We’re diving right back in at Delta Downs Tuesday, one day after we went 3-for-4 in Monday’s late Pick Four sequence in Louisiana. Tuesday’s bet starts in the seventh of 10 races, and I’ll attack it with a $30 ticket that allows me to hit the “ALL” button in a very confusing race after singling my best bet of the day. Here’s what it looks like.
State-bred fillies and mares will kick things off in this $5,000 claiming event. It attracted a field of nine runners, and I’m going three-deep.
#8 GOLDEN BET is my top pick. She won at this route three back and responded to a drop to this level last time out, when she closed well to be fourth (not easy to do given the short distance and shorter stretch). A similar type of effort would give her a big shot, and the 4-1 morning line price does offer a bit of value.
#6 MATT’S PRIDE takes a big drop second off the layoff, and I suppose I need to use her defensively. I’m a bit worried that his best efforts have come elsewhere, though, so in addition to that one, I’ll also throw in #9 LAGNIAPPE, who returns to Delta after showing speed in three starts this season at Fair Grounds.
This $4,000 claiming event boasts a runner that will likely be a pretty heavy favorite. I’m using him, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he won handily, but there’s another I think you need to consider as well.
#4 POPS LEGACY makes a lot of sense. He’s run well against similar competition several times this meet, and he beat a few opponents that also show up here when he was second in his most recent outing. Regular pilot Gerard Melancon will be aboard, and his usual effort will make him tough in here.
However, #3 CELESTIAL COWBOY has some appeal at a price. He hasn’t done much running in two starts at Sam Houston, but Todd Fincher is a top-notch trainer at several circuits that has a win and two seconds from three starters at the meet. When he ships, it isn’t for frequent flyer miles, and he’s run well against higher-priced claiming groups in the past. Perhaps he’s a bit off his best form, but I can’t leave him off the ticket, especially at or near that 8-1 morning line price.
My single comes in this claiming race, and he’ll likely be a popular one. This $5,000 claimer came up very salty for the level, and I need to use a 10-year-old that may be in career-best form at the moment.
#2 MADELYN’S WILD MAX has won two in a row, including a state-bred stakes race two back. I’m a bit surprised they’re running him for a fairly low tag, since he seems to be on his game. If he runs, though, I think he’s strictly the one to beat. The team of Tim Thornton and Karl Broberg must be respected, and I think this Pick Four should be approached in a way where we try to get value out of this short-priced favorite.
Remember how I said there was a real puzzler in the sequence? This maiden claiming event is it. I can make a case for all 10 runners and the also-eligible, and I’ve specifically structured my ticket to allow me to hit the “ALL” button and stay well under my soft $40 budget.
Where do we even start? #2 UNDERDOG is the 5/2 morning line favorite, but he takes a step up in class after running second for a $10,000 tag. I think he’s vulnerable, and the more I looked at the other runners, the more I found scenarios where most of them could win. If we get to this point, I’ll sit back, relax, and root for a price to light up the tote board.
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