Friday's Free Horse Racing Picks: Late Pick 4 Predictions From Belmont Park
Friday’s late Pick Four sequence at Belmont Park is a good one. It begins in the sixth of nine races on the program, and I think there’s plenty of value across the quartet of events. My ticket costs $31.50, and here’s how I’ve constructed it!
We’ll start things off with my strongest opinion of the day. I’ve got a single in this maiden special weight event, and she’ll likely be a pretty square price.
#9 EPONA’S DREAM nearly pulled off a 35-1 upset last time out in her return to the grass, but she settled for third and being beaten by less than a length. I’m not entirely sure why she was such a big price, as her debut back in December (her lone prior turf start) was just fine. She clearly wants to go long on the lawn, and I think she’ll have some pace to chase here. 6-1 hits me as an overlay, and I think she has some value as a “separator single.” Letting it ride with Epona’s Dream also helps my construction of an affordable ticket…
…because I don’t have a clue what’s going to happen in the seventh. This optional claimer drew a field of seven, and I wouldn’t be terribly stunned if any of them ran winning races. With that in mind, I’m going to punch the “ALL” button and hope for a price. If my single gets home and we get a longshot home, we’ll have plenty of reason to be excited midway through the sequence.
We’ll go to the turf for this allowance event, one that boasts the horse that will likely be the shortest price of the sequence. I’m using that one, but also see fit to use two others.
#7 SHAMROCKET drops back into the allowance ranks after finishing fourth in the Grade 1 Man O’ War at odds of 26-1. These are certainly shallower waters, and his best race likely wins, but I do see some red flags. He’s just 2-for-14 lifetime with six seconds and four thirds, which could mean he’s a bit of a hanger. I’m using him, but I need a bit more coverage.
#6 COMPLIANT and #9 DANCE SOME MO are on my ticket as well. The former makes his first start since November for Chad Brown and has run his best races over this turf course, while the latter tries winners for the first time and certainly looks like a horse on the improve for Graham Motion.
We’ll finish things off with a maiden claiming event, and much of this race hinges on if #13 PORTFOLIO HEDGE draws in off the AE list. I’m acting as though he will not run, and if he doesn’t, the race looks far more wide-open.
#4 MASKED MARAUDER is my top selection, and I think you can draw a line through his last-out effort. He’s best on turf and clearly wanted no part of the muddy racetrack he got. He drops in class for this event and certainly looks like the controlling speed. If he gets brave on the front end, I think he’ll be very tough to catch.
I’m also using #7 MAJESTIC SKY and #9 TANNERS NECK LANE. Majestic Sky took a gigantic step forward when second in his turf debut last month against similar-level competition, while Tanners Neck Lane also drops and gets Lasix for the first time.
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