Saratoga Horse Racing Predictions: Late Pick Four Picks
Friday’s late Pick Four sequence at Saratoga is a good one. It’s headlined by a listed stakes race that may as well be a graded event due to the field that’ll line up, and the wager also includes several competitive races with large fields. I’ll attack it with a $24 ticket, and here’s how I’ve put it together!
RACE #7: We’ll kick things off with an allowance race for older fillies and mares bred in New York. A full field will go postward, and I see fit to go four-deep.
#1 PURE BODE and #2 MORE GLITTER intrigue me the most, and both figure to be decent prices. The former makes her second start off the bench and showed some talent last summer and fall, while the latter makes her first start since being transferred to the barn of Mike Maker, who’s been winning almost everything in sight. I need to use both.
I’m also including #10 FREEDOM MACHINE and #11 MY LIPS ARE SEALED. The latter is the 5/2 morning line favorite, and while that price hits me as an underlay, a replay of her two or three-back effort may well be good enough to get the money here.
RACE #8: Turf sprinters will take center stage here, and this is a field light on quantity but heavy on quality. We’ll have a field of seven here, plus two main-track-only runners, and I’m going two-deep.
#3 NOBLE EMOTION has won two in a row this summer and looks to be in tremendous form. His most recent win came at this route of ground, and it was his second such victory, as he also wired an allowance group here last summer. He’ll likely be forwardly-placed from the jump, and it’s tough to argue with his recent form.
#1 SHEKKY SHEBAZ is no stranger to running big races going short on the lawn. A few years ago, he was one of the best turf sprinters in the country and ran third in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint. He’s winless since Jason Servis was visited by the FBI, but he ran a good second at this level and route last month and has the early zip to turn the rail draw into an advantage.
Find the latest free bets and bonuses on our promotions page. We break down the promos you can take advantage of in your state!
RACE #9: The Friday feature is the Tale of the Cat, which attracted six sprinters with serious speed. I’m using half the field, and my top selection is coming off a recent win at the Spa.
#6 FOOLISH GHOST splashed home well clear in the John Morrissey a few weeks ago and earned a career-best 97 Beyer Speed Figure. He’s drawn very well here, should show plenty of speed from his outside draw, and a repeat of his prior local effort would make him a handful.
I’ll also use #3 BON RAISON and #5 WONDRWHERECRAIGIS. Saratoga has been very kind to early speed over the past few days, and that could benefit Wondrwherecraigis, the 9/5 morning line favorite. He recently earned a 102 Beyer in a romp at Pimlico, and he was fourth in last year’s Grade 2 Amsterdam behind the talented Yaupon.
RACE #10: The Friday finale attracted a nine-horse field. However, the morning line man sees it as a two-horse race. I’m inclined to agree, as those are the two runners I’ve used in the payoff leg.
#9 WELL DONE WEST hasn’t run a bad one in four lifetime starts, and I love that he comes in off of a pair of four-furlong bullet drills. He takes a slight drop in class, but it’s not a panicky one, and trainer Danny Gargan has connected at a 22% clip at this stand as of this writing.
#1 JOEY LOOSE LIPS, meanwhile, nearly got home after an aggressive ride by Irad Ortiz, Jr., in a two-turn race just last week. That effort came against state-bred allowance foes, and this $16,000 claimer certainly represents shallower waters. While the drop is a bit suspicious, and while I prefer Well Done West on top, my ticket is budget-friendly enough to allow for the use of both contenders, so that’s what I’ve done.