Saturday Free Horse Racing Picks: Late Pick Four at Woodbine

Andrew Champagne shares his late pick four at Woodbine for his free picks on Saturday.
Andrew Champagne
Sat, November 13, 9:03 AM EST

Saturday Free Horse Racing Picks: Late Pick Four at Woodbine

Saturday’s card at Woodbine is highlighted by a pair of graded stakes races. One of them, the Grade 2 Bessarabian, kicks off the late Pick Four, which covers the last quartet of events on the 11-race program.

I’ll attack the sequence with an $8 ticket (remember, Woodbine has 20-cent minimums, as opposed to 50-cent bets). Here’s how I’ve put it together.

RACE #8

I’ll start off the sequence with my strongest opinion. The Bessarabian has attracted a solid field of older fillies and mares, but there’s one in here I like enough to single.

#4 LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE has done nothing wrong to this point in her career. She’s 3-for-3, and her connections thought enough of her to send her to Keeneland, where she was set to run against top-class opposition. She scratched twice, and instead, she winds up here against a field that seems weaker. 4-1 hits me as a very fair price, and I hope we get it come post time. if I’m right, she turns into a bit of a “separator single,” one that could drive the payoff potential up significantly.

RACE #9

Older distaffers will go two turns in this starter optional claiming race, one that figures to feature a pretty heavy favorite. I’m using that runner, but there’s another that hits me as a must-use at or near her morning line price.

#5 ANTIGONE is very logical. She’s been running against far better horses of late, and anything close to the form she flashed this past summer (when she reeled off three straight impressive wins) would likely throttle this bunch. She’s a bit pace-dependent, but this field isn’t totally devoid of early speed, so she should have every chance to put forth the type of race she’s shown she can run.

However, I’ll also use #4 CHEEKY PINT, who comes back to Woodbine’s synthetic surface and takes a drop in class. She ran for $37,500 last time out, but runs for $15,000 here. Add in that her two-back dud came on dirt at Fort Erie, and I think there are plenty of reasons to expect a step forward.

RACE #10

Going skinny in the first two legs allows me to spread on the back half of my ticket. This is a good thing, as the last two races of the day hit me as extremely wide-open. For instance, I’m going five-deep in this claimer, and I sincerely hope I’ve used enough horses.

My top pick is a bit of a price. I’m not sure we’ll get the 12-1 morning line odds on #6 SPEEDY MOONLITE, who exits an allowance win at Fort Erie and seems like one of the main early speed horses here. However, I certainly don’t think he’ll be favored, and even half of his morning line price would hit me as an attractive value proposition.

I’m also using #2 BLOCKBUSTER, #5 BAY OF RUM, #8 CRAFTY CONQUEST, and #10 SEAU. The latter two horses both figure to take plenty of money, and neither would be overly surprising. However, if Speedy Moonlite is as well-meant as I think he is, I think we could see a lot of tickets go up in smoke.

RACE #11

Handicapping doesn’t get any easier for us in the Saturday nightcap, which has attracted a field of 14 bottom-level claimers. I think you’ll want plenty of coverage here, and I’m going four-deep.

#2 LINDA LOVES LACE is my top selection. She takes a significant class drop from the $15,000 level, and she’s been competitive against a couple of higher-level groups this season. She’ll likely be forwardly-placed here, and she’ll likely have every chance to get first run on tiring pace-setters turning for home.

#7 ELITE PRINCESS, #9 MUSICALLY INCLINED, and #13 SILENT GUROO are also on my ticket. Your guess is as good as mine with regard to which of these runners will go favored. I understand the logic behind using even more runners, but I’ll try to take a stand and connect with a skinnier ticket.

THE TICKET

R8: 4

R9: 4,5

R10: 2,5,6,8,10

R11: 2,7,9,13

Andrew Champagne
AndrewChampagne
Andrew Champagne is a horse racing handicapper with a specialism in juveniles. One thing is for certain, Champagne gets the party started.
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.