Onto the third day of the Champions League quarterfinals.
Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich
1u - Bayern Munich -1 @ +240
- Bayern Munich have won their past 8 Champions League games
I've really studied the odds for this game hard and it's really difficult to find a value angle, so you're only getting one pick for this one.
Bayern Munich are, perhaps alongside Man City, the best team left in the competition. They've won their past 8 games in this competition and in that timeframe have scored 3+ goals on 7 occasions. This isn't a team you want to face.
You never want to rule out Lionel Messi but you feel like this Barcelona team is perhaps the worst that he's played in. Pique, Busquets and Suarez have all seen their best days, and the incredible Antione Griezmann just doesn't fit into this team and their style of play. This isn't a vintage Barca team and I think they'll be turned over quite easily and are living off name alone.
With that in mind I'm backing the Germans to win in style, and I'm taking the -1 handicap.
Champions League Betting Odds
Bayern are favorites and have gone to odds-on in the past few days. The best price is currently -104, quite a difference to Barcelona who are rarely as big as +255. The draw is +300.
Barcelona vs. Bayern Munich Betting Odds:
Bayern Munich -104
(Click odds to bet)
Robert Lewandowski is understandably favorite to open the scoring with the Polish striker at +320. Lionel Messi is +420 and is surely the dangerman for Barcelona.
Champions League Betting
Over the past 7 days Bayern Munich have accounted for 64.07% of bets on this match, with only 27.54% backing Barca.
Interestingly Barcelona account for over 50% of the handle on this game, showing that their large price has attracted some bettors who have invested heavily.