The last of this week's Champions League quarterfinals is upon us.
Man City vs. Lyon
1u - Draw/Man City (Halftime/Fulltime) @ +335
- Man City have been drawing at halftime, before winning at fulltime in their past 3 Champions League games
On the face of it this looks like a David and Goliath mismatch. Man City have arguably the best squad in world football, built from petro-dollars under the astute leadership of the world's best coach, Pep Guardiola. Over the past few years they've won everything, except the Champions League, the one trophy they really want.
Lyon meanwhile exist on a smaller budget, and only finished 7th when Ligue 1 was ruled to an immediate end after the outbreak of the Covid-19 crisis.
Don't overlook Lyon though, they've shown great resolve, and displayed their defensive strength against Juventus, managing to do a good job of keeping the Italian champions at bay.
Man City will win this game, of that there is no doubt. However, there is so little value on this game that we're following the trends of Man City's past 3 Champions League games, and Lyon's last game, and backing a draw at halftime, before City do the business after the break. At +335 this is the only real value pick today.
0.5u - Memphis Depay to score first @ +1400
This is only a little wager and although I think it more than likely won't happen, I can't stop myself backing Memphis Depay to score first at 14/1. Depay effectively plays as a frontman for Lyon, alongisde Dembele, and managed to score 15 goals in 20 games for Lyon this season, including 6 in 6, in the Champions League. He never reached the heights expected for him at City's rivals, Manchester United, but he's very talented and at 14/1 is very overpriced, especially when he takes penalties.
Champions League Betting Odds
Man City are huge favorites, at a best price of -400 to win in 90 minutes, with the draw at +560 and a Lyon win very unlikely according to the books, who have priced it at +1150, implying just an 8% chance that it happens. Man City are even shorter at -1100 to qualify for the semifinals, with Lyon at +800
Man City vs. Lyon Betting Odds:
Man City -400
(Click odds to bet)
With odds as short as this for Man City you won't be shocking to know with the first 9 players to score first being City players!! Sergio Aguero leads the way at +275. Moussa Dembele is the Lyon player most likely to score first.
Champions League Betting
Over the past 7 days, 55% of bets have been on Man City, with only 23.67% on the French side. Money tells a differnt story however with Man City accounting for 78.51% of handle.