Time to find out our second finalist for Sunday's showpiece.
Lyon vs. Bayern Munich
0.5u - Bayern Munich and Under 2.5 Goals @ +390
- Bayern have won their past 3 games against Lyon in all competitions
Yes, I'm aware that Bayern scored 8 in their quarterfinal against Barca but this pick is just better value. Everybody expects goals from this game, and when everybody zigs, sometimes it's wise to zag. At nearly 4/1 this is a huge price. Bayern have all the tools to win this, but don't forget it's still a semi in a European competition. Nerves could set in, Bayern could play safer to avoid Lyon's dangers, much like Pep Guardiola did, and they may not be as freescoring at we think.
At this price I think it's worth a small bet, because there isn't a huge amount of value on this game.
0.5u - Memphis Depay to score first @ +1500
If you remember our preview of Man City vs. Lyon you'll know I picked this then, and it didn't happen. My reasoning was at such a large price, it was just good value to back a Lyon first goal scorer, despite being unlikely. It turns out I had the right idea, but wrong player.
The same applies today, Depay is not 15/1 from 14/1 in that past game and it's simply too big. He has scored 15 in 21 games this year, plays up front, and takes penalties. With VAR there is always the increased chance of penalties and at this price I have to have a bite. Bayern haven't been imperious in defense, and still displayed some horrific defending in that Barca game.
Bayern are huge favorites at -435, with Lyon rank outsiders at +1150. Bayern are even shorter to qualify at a mindblowing -1200, with Lyon at +800.
Lyon vs. Bayern Munich Betting Odds:
Bayern Munich -435
(Click odds to bet)
Robert Lewandowski leads the betting at +215 to score first. Moussa Dembele is the shortest Lyon player at +1100.
Champions League Betting
Over the past 24 hours Bayern Munich account for 42.5% of the bets on the game, just ahead of Lyon on 40%, with 17.5% of bettors backing the draw.
It's worth noting that in that timeframe Bayern Munich have taken 65.09% of handle, showing that the majority of money is on the Germans.