RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool Prediction, Statistics, Preview & Betting Picks

An in-depth look at RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game. In addition to some leans elsewhere in the Champions League.
Samuel Farley
Mon, February 15, 9:29 AM EST

RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool predictions – 3:00pm ET

The Champions League returns on Tuesday and soccer writer Sam Farley takes a look at the big clash between Leipzig and PSG.

Key RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool Statistics:

  • There have been under 2.5 goals score in 9 of Liverpool's past 10 UCL games.
  • Liverpool only conceeded 3 goals in the group stages.
  • RB Leipzig had a -1 goal difference in the group stages.
  • Liverpool have lost 3 games in a row, 5 across their past 7 games in all competitions.

RB Leipzig vs. Liverpool Expert Picks

1u – Draw/Liverpool (HT/FT) @ +505 (Click To Bet)

Liverpool have lost three straight games, which now makes it five defeats in just seven games. That is something we never expected to see from Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool.

Let's have it straight though, there is a lot of hyperbole, in addition to glee from opposing fans, which is making us feel like things are considerably worse than they are. Alisson has been written off by Twitter, but the truth is that he's still a world class keeper, he's just being held back by a makeshift backline, which has changed reguarly. He needs consistency.

We can't downplay the defensive injuries here. Missing Virgil van Dijk is huge, as is Joe Gomez and Joel Matip who are both upgrades over Henderson and Fabinho. Fabinho and Henderson aren't doing a terrible job at CB but it takes them out of midfield, which is causing huge issues, with Thiago, Wijnaldum and Curtis Jones not managing to shield them enough.

That weakness in midfield has also made Thiago look worse than he is. He's one of the world's best midfielders and has already been labelled a flop. I'd expect him to improve when he has Fabinho alongside him and Van Dijk behind him, but in the meantime he'll look like Liverpool's Juan Sebastian Veron, a talented player in the wrong team. It's worth remembering how Veron played in Europe though, where he was one of Man Utd's best players. I think we could see that against RB Leipzig, a team he has met plenty of times during his spell at Bayern Munich.

Leipzig are well organized and good in transition, but they're not really at home here, with the game being played in Hungary, which removes any advantage that they might have had. It's also just been announced that Dayot Upamecano will be moving to Bayern Munich in the summer, with his head now in Bavaria, could he struggle? There are questions that need answering and I'm backing Liverpool to secure the win that they, and Jurgen Klopp, really need.

Furthermore I'll take the game to be tied at halftime before a late Liverpool winner. Liverpool will need to keep the game tight, and allow themselves to be more expansive as the game goes on until they get the lead. Let's fade the noise and put trust in Liverpool's attack to get the job done. The odds of +505 are simply too big and I have to get involved at that price.

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Tuesday Champions League Picks

You can read our picks for Barcelona vs. PSG HERE.

Tuesday Champions League Parlay

1u - Draw/Barcelona (HT/FT) & Draw/Liverpool (HT/FT) @ +3470

We're going to take both games to be tied at halftime with Barcelona and Liverpool going on to win.

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
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