Dortmund won 3-2 on the road in the first leg after an Erling Haaland masterclass. Will they seal their spot in next round at home?
Key Borussia Dortmund vs. Sevilla Statistics:
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Sevilla last 5 UCL games.
- Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their past 6 Champions League games
Borussia Dortmund vs. Sevilla Expert Picks
1u – Dortmund to win and both teams to score @ +270 (Click To Bet)
0.25u – Correct score - 2-2 @ +1100 (Click To Bet)
Okay, I know what you're thinking, why have I suggested two picks which conflict each other. Well, my main pick is to back Dortmund to win and both teams to score, with the correct score as an insurance policy of sorts.
Let's start with Dortmund. They're sixth in the Bundesliga and have had a patchy campaign. Marco Rose will be taking over as manager in the summer but until then Edin Terzic is in control. They're not treading water though, they need to qualify for next year's Champions League or they may need to sell one of their stars.
I've faded Dortmund in general this year, given their inconsistent nature, but when it's really mattered they have showed up lately. Last time they won the away leg of this game 3-2 with Erling Haaland showcasing why he's the best young striker in the world, sorry Mbappe. They also played really well at times during this past weekend's 4-2 loss to Bayern Munich. They did lose but can take confidence from their performance.
One thing both of those games show, is that Dortmund are hard to stop scoring, but they also likely to give up goals too. In 24 league games this year they've scored 50, over 2 per game but have given up 35 goals.
With those trends in mind I'll be backing Dortmund to win here, but for a talented and smart Sevilla team to get on the scoresheet.
Sevilla are Europa League vets but they are streetwise and I did fancy them to go through but the first leg showed how they struggled to deal with Sancho and Haaland, both of whom are on top form right now. I think there's a chance they do manage to score twice against Dortmund, with that potential I'm also suggesting a very low wager on the 2-2 draw at massive +1100 odds.
Tuesday Champions League Picks
You can read our picks for Juventus vs. Porto HERE.
Tuesday Champions League Parlay
0.25u - Dortmund 2-2 Sevilla, Juventus 2-1 Porto @ +9675
We're backing a moonshot correct score parlay, with odds so long that you'd nearly return $1000 from a $10 stake.
Borussia Dortmund vs. Sevilla Odds
Public Betting % (Past 7 days)
Borussia Dortmund vs. Sevilla Betting
Dortmund are clearly the most backed team here, accounting for over 63.64% of bets. The real story is that the draw is the second most backed outcome here. Interestingly the majority of the handle is on the draw with 62.48% of all money staked on this game being on the draw.
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