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Man City vs. Dortmund Prediction, Statistics, Preview & Betting Picks

An in-depth look at Man City vs. Dortmund. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game. In addition to some leans elsewhere in the Champions League.
Samuel Farley
Tue, April 6, 8:06 AM EDT

Man City vs. Dortmund predictions – 3:00pm ET

Man City vs. Dortmund gives us a great chance to see the Erling Haaland against the team in which we could see him move to during the summer.

Key Man City vs. Dortmund Statistics:

  • Man City have kept a clean sheet in their past 7 UCL games
  • Man City have been winning at halftime and fulltime in 5 of their past 7 UCL games
  • Man City have won 7 of their last 8 UCL games
  • There have been Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of Dortmund's past 6 games.

Man City vs. Dortmund Expert Picks

1u – Man City -1 @ +110 (Click To Bet)

In my preview for Real Madrid vs. Liverpool I mentioned that the game could almost act like an audition for Mohamed Salah who has long been linked with Real. That's something that feels even more valid in this game with Man City likely to be amongst the front runners looking to sign Erling Haaland this summer to replace the outgoing Sergio Aguero.

Erling Haaland is, for me, the best young player in the world. Despite a lot of discussion about Mbappe and Haaland being the next Ronaldo and Messi, it feels like Haaland, despite Mbappe's impressive collection of trophies, is destined for true greatness. Despite all of that though, he's going to find it very hard today against Manchester City, who are the best team that he's faced all season, marginally better than Bayern Munich.

Man City have only conceeded 21 goals in the Premier League this season and have looked dominant in Europe so far. They're rightly the favorites for the competition and the Stones and Dias partnership at the back looks so strong, with Dias looking like he might be one of the Europe's best defenders. Despite Haaland's ability in front of goal it's going to be tough for him without Jadon Sancho playing. Playing in the Bundesliga has likely led to Sancho's reputation on the world stage being lower than it should be, with some experts suggesting he shouldn't even be in the England squad for Euro 2020. They are wrong. He's an incredible talent and despite a poor period of form before Christmas he's been lights out since. Even in a season with a slow start, he's seen 9 assists and 6 goals in just 21 league games. His ability to run with the ball and help the transition from defense to attack is unmatched and Dortmund will really miss that ability. It's especially sad for Sancho who'd have been keen to show his old club what they were missing.

With Sancho and Axel Witsel missing there are going to be some problems for Dortmund against City and I simply can't see the German side being able to compete against a superior side, with better coaching and talent. Dortmund have only won one of their last 5 games including a 2-1 loss to Eintracht Frankfurt on Saturday and I can't seem not adding another here. Take City and take a small handicap to find some value in the price.

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FanDuel Same Game Parlay - 0.5u @ +267 (Click To Bet)

Here's a Same Game Parlay for today's match between Man City and Dortmund.

1. Both Teams To Score - No - I don't believe Dortmund will score today

2. Halftime Result - Man City - City will be winning by halftime

3. Alternate Spread - Man City -1 - Man City will score at least 2 goals

4. A Goal Scored In Both Halves - Yes - City will score in both halves

Tuesday Champions League Picks

You can read our picks for Real Madrid vs. Liverpool HERE.

Tuesday Champions League Parlay

0.25u - Liverpool to win 2-0, Man City to win 3-0 @ +12500

I really believe that both English sides are superior here and despite the likes of Erling Haaland and Karim Benzema, we should expect a clean sheet for both. 

Man City vs. Dortmund Odds

Result

Odds

Public Betting % (Past 7 days)

Man City

-265

56.06%

Dortmund

+950

19.7%

Draw

+475

24.24%

Man City vs. Dortmund Betting

Man City are huge favorites with the sportsbooks and it appears like bettors agree. 56.06% of bets have been on Pep Guardiola's team, as well as 70.59% of the handle on the game. Gabriel Jesus is the most popular bet to score first with 40% of all wagers being on the Brazilian. 

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
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