Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Prediction, Statistics, Preview & Betting Picks

An in-depth look at Real Madrid vs. Liverpool. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game. In addition to some leans elsewhere in the Champions League.
Samuel Farley
Tue, April 6, 7:23 AM EDT

Real Madrid vs. Liverpool predictions – 3:00pm ET

Real Madrid face Liverpool in one of today's two quarterfinals. The two have met in recent memory when Real defeated Liverpool in the Champions League Final of 17-18, which Los Blancos won 3-1.

Key Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Statistics:

  • There have been Under 2.5 Goals in 11 of Liverpool's last 12 UCL games
  • Liverpool have a clean sheet in 7 of their past 9 UCL games

Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Expert Picks

2u – Liverpool win @ +160 (Click To Bet)

1u – Liverpool win to nil @ +375 (Click To Bet)

1u – Mohamed Salah to score first @ +440 (Click To Bet)

As you can see from the volume of bets I'm wagering on this game, I think there's huge value to be had. I've not felt this confident about a Champions League game, between two close teams, very often this season but I really can't look beyond a Liverpool win here.

Granted, this Liverpool side isn't the same as the team which romped to the Premier League last year but I believe that they're slowly getting themselves back to the level they need. They've struggled without key men this term but in the Champions League they've been consistently strong.

Saturday's victory over Arsenal was a demolition job and they'll be in high spirits coming into this game. Predicting results isn't an exact science but I think we can look at Chelsea's routine victory over Atletico in the last round, as a good omen for this game. The reality is, that the Premier League is from top to bottom, the strongest league in the world, despite Man City making it look too easy as they walk to the title. Liverpool despite a testing campaign are simply better than Real Madrid, something I think we'll see as this game progresses across both legs.

Real Madrid still have those famous white jerseys but they don't play like they used to. Sergio Ramos' injury has deprived them of their best defender and I think Salah and Mane will be able to get at Nacho who'll be alongside Raphael Varane in the heart of Madrid's backline. Eden Hazard too is missing and although the Belgian has yet to convince Real Madrid's fanbase that he was worth the huge transfer fee, it's clear to those that watched him at Chelsea that he is the real deal. That leaves Real relying on an aging midfield to supply Karim Benzema, who has really done well since taking the limelight after Ronaldo left. Kroos and Modric are still two of the world's best passers but I think they could struggle against the energy of Fabino and Wijnaldum in Liverpool's midfield.

I really can't see Liverpool leaving without a victory and in Mohamed Salah they have a player who has still scored 26 goals for his club this year, despite a miserable season for the team. With Erling Haaland and Kylian Mbappe ascending in their status it feels like it's been overlooked just how good Salah is. Let's not forget that he's been linked with a move to Real Madrid in recent years and speculation about a transfer this summer is still out there. I could see Salah treating this like an audition and putting on a real showcase of his ability.

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FanDuel Same Game Parlay - 0.5u @ +1136 (Click To Bet)

I don't usually do Same Game Parlays for Champions League games but I think there's some great value to be had here. So if you use Same Game Parlays or Bet Builders, then this is a multi leg parlay for the game that I think offers big value.

1. Liverpool Moneyline - I'm confident in Liverpool winning this game.

2. Under 2.5 Goals - As the trends above show, we've seen Under 2.5 Goals in 11 of Liverpool's past 12 games.

3. Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer - Liverpool's best player is likely to be their hero today.

4. Both Teams To Score No - I don't believe this Real Madrid team will score.

Tuesday Champions League Picks

You can read our picks for Man City vs. Dortmund HERE.

Tuesday Champions League Parlay

0.25u - Liverpool to win 2-0, Man City to win 3-0 @ +12500

I really believe that both English sides are superior here and despite the likes of Erling Haaland and Karim Benzema, we should expect a clean sheet for both. 

Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Odds

Result

Odds

Public Betting % (Past 7 days)

Real Madrid

+175

37.8%

Liverpool

+160

45.12%

Draw

+250

17.08%

Real Madrid vs. Liverpool Betting

Liverpool are the most backed team in this game despite being on the road. Not only were majority of bets (45.12%) of bets on Liverpool but the majority of the handle was also on the English team, with Jurgen Klopp's men accounting for 55.53% of all money on the game.

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
0Betslip

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