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An in-depth look at Bayern Munich vs. PSG. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game. In addition to some leans elsewhere in the Champions League.

Bayern Munich vs. PSG predictions – 3:00pm ET

Bayern Munich face PSG in the tie of the round. Two of Europe's biggest names are set to meet in the first leg of this quarterfinal tie.

Key Bayern Munich vs. PSG Statistics:

  • Bayern have won 18 of their last 19 UCL games.
  • Bayern have scored 2+ goals in 17 of their past 19 UCL games.

Bayern Munich vs. PSG Expert Picks

1**u – Bayern Munich @ -104 (Click To Bet)**

0.5**u – Under 2.5 Goals @ +140 (Click To Bet)**

All of the public money is backing Bayern Munich here, with the German side clearly being chalk. I do worry that perhaps I'm underestimating PSG, something I did do before their first leg against Barcelona, but despite their ability I'm not sure they're on Bayern's level.

PSG are one of the best teams on the planet but Bayern Munich, and Man City, are both clear of the rest. This Bayern Munich team will be without some key men. Serge Gnabry has been ruled out, which is a loss but not a killer blow. Robert Lewandowski's injury on international duty for Poland is concerning though. Lewandowski is so lethal in front of goal that Bayern are a wore team without him. Leroy Sane may play up front as a false 9 but whoever takes that place up front will get excellent service, with Thomas Muller and Kingsley Coman supplying them.

Despite missing Lewandowski it's another injury that has led me to follow the public money and wager on Bayern Munich here. That injury of course if Marco Verratti, the Italian midfielder will be a big loss for the Parisians who rely on his metronomic passing to dictate the tempo. Also missing from the midfield is another Pochettino favorite, Leandro Parades. That leaves the base of the midfield likely filled by Idrissa Gueye and Danilo Pereira. They're good players but against a partnership of Leon Goretzka and Joshua Kimmich they will struggle. 

Bayern's ability to dictate the tempo of this game will be key and crucially the Bayern team has plenty of pace. The likes of David Alaba and Alphonso Davies will be able to do a better job of protecting the German's net from Kyllian Mbappe and Neymar, who'll be looking to use their speed and ability in transition to attack them.

I expect Bayern to secure the win here but I think that the missing players might push this game toward being lower scoring than many imagine, so I'm going to recommend a small wager on Under 2.5 goals too.

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Wednesday Champions League Picks

You can read our picks for Porto vs. Chelsea HERE.

Wednesday Champions League Parlay

0.25u - Draw/Bayern & Draw/Chelsea @ +2320

I believe both games could be slow starters, so we're taking both to be draws at halftime before the stronger teams both go on to win in the second halves.

Bayern Munich vs. PSG Odds

ResultOddsPublic Betting % (Past 7 days)
Bayern Munich-10464.79%

Bayern Munich vs. PSG Betting

The majority of bets have been on Bayern Munich with just under 65% of all bets being on the Bavarian side. Not only that but 89.29% of the money wagered on this game was on Munich too, with bettors surprisingly fading PSG.

Article Author

A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA.


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