Man City vs. PSG Prediction, Statistics, Preview & Champions League Semi Final Betting Picks

An in-depth look at Man City vs. PSG. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game. In addition to some leans elsewhere in the Champions League.
Samuel Farley
Tue, May 4, 8:02 AM EDT

Champions League: Manchester City vs. PSG predictions – 3:00pm ET

Last Wednesday we saw Pep Guardiola's Manchester City win 2-1 in Paris, now they welcome PSG to the Ethihad and are hopeful of reaching their first ever Champions League final.

Key Man City vs. PSG Statistics:

  • Man City have won their last 6 Champions League games.
  • Man City have scored 2+ goals in their last 6 Champions League games.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Man City's last 3 Champions League games.

Champions League Semi Final Second Leg: Man City vs. PSG Expert Picks

1u - Man City @ -141 (Click To Bet)

0.5u - Both Teams To Score In The Second Half @ +188 (Click To Bet)

0.5u - Neymar To Get A Card @ +200 (Click To Bet)

The second leg of this Champions League semifinal has the potential to be defining moment for both sides. If PSG lose then it'll be another chance for people to jibe that Pochettino is 'Spursy' and has no bottle. Likewise if Man City lose, having got the lead at the halfway point, then it'll be damning for Pep Guardiola who was taken to Manchester to win this trophy. 

Sadly it looks like Kylian Mbappe is unlikely to start and was seen hobbling into PSG's hotel in Manchester with a limp. Could it be gamesmanship? Most certainly and given his importance to the Parisians it certainly wouldn't be a surprise if his name appeared in the starting lineup when it's announced at 2pm ET.

This game feels like Man City's to lose. They performed brilliantly in Paris, although PSG's implosion certianly helped them. Now they hold a one goal lead and crucially two away goals, which could be vital. Man City have only shipped 24 goals in 34 games in the Premier League this year which should concern PSG bettors.

The first leg was end-to-end with plenty of goalmouth action. In the first half of that game PSG looked unbeatable but they tired in the second period and a series of mental mistakes, from Kaylor Navas, the wall and then Idrissa Gueye, who got a red card, handed City the win.

I'm expecting the game to be fairly tight in the first half. Man City won't want to give PSG hope with an early goal and they'll be pragmatic, as much as you see from a Guardiola side anyway. They'll look to frustrate PSG, retain the ball and try to score. 

The second half is where this game will come alive. If Mbappe doesn't start then he'll almost certainly come in here. PSG will throw bodies forward trying to score and you'd have to imaine that they'll manage a goal. The issue is that they'll be left wide open at the back and give City every chance to score too. Odds of +188 on both teams to score in the second half look generous and worth backing.

As the game progresses we'll see PSG continue to let their emotions overpower their play, something we saw in the second half of the first leg last week. Neymar got a yellow card in that match and at +200 looks a great bet to do it again. When there's drama it's very rare that the boy from Brazil isn't far behind, and this match looks set for either Neymar brilliance or another blemish on the record of most unpopular but brilliant player of all time.

Ultimately City will win this game, they have quality in depth, less injury concerns and a better mentality. The game may start tight but we'll see a flurry of goals in the second half as the tie gets away from PSG. Expect fireworks.

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Man City vs. PSG Score Prediction

Manchester City 3-1 PSG @ +1100 (Click To Bet)

Man City vs. PSG First Leg Result

The first lef of this game took place on Wednesday April 28.

PSG

1-2

Man City

Marquinhos 15’

Goals

De Bruyne 64’

Mahrez 71’

Gueye 77’

Red Cards

 

Champions League Semi Final: Man City vs. PSG Odds

Result

Odds

Public Betting % (Past 24 hours)

Man City

-141

65%

PSG

+400

26.67%

Draw

+335

8.33%

Manchester City vs. PSG Public Betting

Manchester City are favorites for this match with the sportsbooks and also with bettors. Over the past 24 hours we've seen 65% of all bets being on Manchester City, with 81.55% of the money wagered on the game being on the English side. Man City have been the popular choice over the past week, accounting for 55% of bets in the past 7 days, but news that Kylian Mbappe is likely to start on the bench has meant that a large amount of bets have come in on Pep Guardiola's men.

Champions League: Man City vs. PSG Expected Lineups

This is how we expect both teams to line up on Tuesday 4th May, with Kylian Mbappe believed to be missing through injury.

Man City XI: Ederson, Walker, Stones, Dias, Zinchenko, Silva, Rodrigo, Gundogan, Mahrez, De Bruyne, Foden.

Paris Saint-Germain XI: Navas, Florenzi, Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Bakker, Herrera, Paredes, Di Maria, Verratti, Neymar, Icardi.

What time does Man City vs. PSG kick off?

The game kicks off at 3pm ET. The local time in Manchester where the game is taking place is 8pm.

How To Watch Man City vs. PSG In The Champions League

You can watch today's big game on TV or with a stream.

TV: CBS Sports Network

Live stream: Paramount+

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
0Betslip

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