Champions League Parlay: Will Serie A Giants Topple?

Soccer expert Alex Campean has a two-leg parlay to tail for this Tuesday's Champions League action. He breaks down the two matches and gives us his picks for the parlay here.
Alex Campean
Mon, October 18, 8:02 AM EDT

Champions League Parlay: Will Serie A Giants Topple?

Champions League Matchday 3 Betting Picks: Tuesday's Parlay (+177)

Inter must quickly recover from Serie A’s defeat against Lazio as they host surprise package Sheriff Tiraspol. At the same time, AC Milan travels to play FC Porto in what should be an entertaining match.

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Inter vs. Sheriff Tiraspol

Inter vs. Sheriff Tiraspol Odds

Let’s say you took a more extended summer break, and you are checking the Champions League’s Group D standings for the first time. You already know Sheriff Tiraspol qualified for the 1st time in their history in the UCL group stages, and you want to see how many goals they conceded against Shakhtar Donetsk and Real Madrid. Surprise! They are leading the standings with two wins from two games. It’s not a mistake.

And in one of the greatest shocks in soccer history, Sheriff, a club from a region that lacks official recognition, beat Real Madrid on the road, being priced between +2500 and +3000. Combined with another big upset from Matchday 1 in which they beat experienced Shakhtar Donetsk, Sheriff have now a great chance of qualifying for the knockout stage. Will they make it three in a row on Tuesday against Inter?

They won their last five games across all competitions, but we shouldn’t even mention the results from their domestic league because they are dominating it. They scored 31 goals and conceded just 4 in 10 ‘Divizia Nationala’ fixtures. That says a lot about their opponents and the way they are dominating the league.

On the other side, Inter suffered their first loss of the Serie A season against Lazio at the weekend, failing to maintain the one-goal half-time lead, letting in three in the 2nd half. As a result, they are now sitting 3rd in the Serie A standings, 7 points behind leaders Napoli, the only team in Europe’s top 5 leagues with a perfect record (8 wins in 8 games).

Inter are also struggling in UCL, winning just 1 point in 2 games and failing to find the back of the net against Real Madrid and Shakhtar. The two games against Sheriff should bring them 6 points, but they shouldn’t underestimate their opponents. This game is crucial for Nerazzurri, and anything else than a win will compromise their chances to qualify for the Champions League knockout stages.

Let’s not forget that they will face Juventus next weekend in Serie A, so Simone Inzaghi and Co. are under enormous pressure. Of course, we expect Inter to win this clash, but it will be a closer game than the odds suggest.

1st Parlay Pick: Sheriff Tiraspol +2.5 (-160)

FC Porto vs. AC Milan

Porto vs. Milan Odds

The Portuguese giants kicked off their Champions League campaign with a goalless draw away from home against Atletico Madrid, followed by a heavy 5-1 defeat at home to Liverpool. They will be desperate for a win in the group of death; therefore, they will be looking to pick up their first victory on Tuesday against AC Milan. Apart from the defeat against Liverpool, Porto has been on a nice run, with that being their only defeat in their last 25 games across all competitions.

On the other side, the Italian giants are sitting bottom of the table with zero points, so imagine how crucial this clash is for both teams. On paper, AC Milan is the better team, but it looks like they will be without many of their key players. Franck Kessié is suspended after being red-carded against Atletico Madrid, Mike Maignan, Tiemoue Bakayoko, Alessandro Florenzi are injured, Theo Hernandez and Brahim Diaz have tested positive with Covid-19, while Ante Rebic is doubtful.

The good thing is that AC Milan has a strong attacking line with Leao, Giroud, or Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who is back from injury. The bad thing is that they are struggling badly at the back, and everyone can score against them. They kept just one clean sheet in their previous seven games across all competitions, conceding 2+ goals in 4 games during that sequence.

This will definitely be a very close contest as the odds suggest giving a slight advantage to the visitors. We expect a draw with goals.

2nd Parlay Pick: Both Teams to Score (-143) 

Champions League Parlay Picks

2-Leg Parlay Odds (+177): Risk $100 to win $177

Click Here For Complete Champions League Odds For Every Match

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