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Expert soccer handicapper Alex Campean breaks down the Champions League and Europa League matches for this week. Atletico Madrid takes on Man City while Atalanta takes on RB Leipzig.

Wednesday's Soccer Picks: Don't Miss These Champions League and Europa League Picks

Atletico Madrid vs. Man City (Champions League Quarter Finals 2nd Leg)

Diego Simeone’s defensive approach against Manchester City led his team to an unpleasant statistic, that has not been achieved by any football club in the last 10 years. Atletico Madrid did not register a single shot on target last week in the 1-0 defeat to the Citizens.

Simeone also suggested that his side would attempt to attack more in the second leg at the Wanda Metropolitano. And it’s normal because they must overturn the one-goal deficit in order to earn their semifinals tickets. La Liga’s reigning champs have had a poor season defending their crown and are currently trailing leaders Real Madrid by 15 points in fourth place.

The Belgium international Kevin de Bruyne’s second-half goal was enough to give the Citizens a slim advantage heading to the second leg. Since then, they played out a 2-2 draw with Liverpool in the most important game of the Premier League season which certainly lived up to the pre-game hype.

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The Spanish side warmed up for the clash with another disappointing 1-0 defeat weekend defeat to relegation-threatened Mallorca in which Simeone rested many of his key players. This season, Atletico has yet to win a game in the Champions League on home soil suffering two defeats and being kept to two draw games.

Yannick Carrasco returns from suspension for Atletico Madrid while Hector Herrera is unavailable and Jose Gimenez is doubtful. The Citizens will welcome Kyle Walker back to the starting line-up but they will still be without Ruben Dias, who is injured.

Atletico is forced to enter this clash all guns blazing. They might have a defensive approach for the first 30 minutes but eventually, they will have to risk and leave many gaps at the gaps. Man City are deadly on the break, they have a great pace and amazing creativity so we expect them to score at least two goals on their own. We don’t care what the finals result will be, we just care for Man City’s goals.

Atletico Madrid vs. Man City Pick

Pick: Man City Team Total Over 1.5 goals (-105) (Bet $105 to Win $100)

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Atalanta vs. RB Leipzig (Europa League Quarter Finals 2nd Leg)

The first leg between Atalanta and RB Leipzig was totally crazy and we simply can’t understand how that game stayed under 2.5 goals. Both sides hit the woodwork twice and RB Leipzig had a penalty saved and the game eventually ended 1-1. Leipzig looked a bit disjointed in the final third lacking a clear mind, but that will change in the 2nd leg.

Domenico Tedesco’s RB Leipzig warmed up for Thursday’s crucial Europa League encounter with a thumping 3-0 win against Hoffenheim on Sunday evening and Die Roten Bullen has tasted defeat just once in their last 17 fixtures across all competitions.

Both sides are renowned for their positive attacking football and the tactical battle between Domenico Tedesco and La Dea boss Gian Piero Gasperini promises to finally produce at least three goals on the scoresheet. If we take out the result from the 1st leg, each of Leipzig’s European fixtures in the Champions League and Europa League this season have produced over 2.5 goals. Both teams to score have landed in eight of RB Leipzig’s nine European fixtures this season.

Christopher Nkunku was again on the scoresheet as Leipzig cruised past Hoffenheim to close the gap to one point on third-placed Leverkusen. Nkunku has 17 Bundesliga goals this term, including 10 this year. He is the only player in the German top-flight league to reach double figures for goals and assists. Let’s add eight more in the European competitions (7 in UCL and 1 in UEL) and we have one of the best players and lethal finishers of the season in the European top five leagues. He is priced at +185 to be anytime goalscorer and we will take this bet with a half stake.

Atalanta vs. RB Leipzig Pick

Pick 1: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the game (-105) (Bet $105 to Win $100)

Pick 2: Christopher Nkunku Anytime goalscorer (+185) (Bet $100 to Win $185)

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Article Author


Alex Campean has been a soccer fan since 1990 when he watched the 1990 FIFA World Cup in Italy. He knows everything about the top 5 European leagues, Champions League and Europa League and he is well known for his “trade-mark” “Alex Classic” bet (both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match). He’s very disciplined, follows a strict set of rules, and has great bankroll management. He’s our European soccer specialist and he's having an average of 55 units of profit in the last 7 years with his soccer picks. He’s all about positive energy, respect, and long-term profit and if you ever hear “Alex’s last-minute goal” that means he did it again winning a bet in the last minute of the game, so never lose hope.


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