EURO 2020 Odds: EURO 2020 Predictions, Picks & Betting Preview

An in-depth look at EURO 2020 with the picks, predictions and odds for all the important betting markets.
Samuel Farley
Thu, June 10, 2:00 PM EDT

EURO 2020 Odds: Predictions, Picks & Betting Preview

It's nearly here, we've waited an extra year but what do 365 days matter when a whole summer of non-stop soccer is on the cards. 

In this preview we're going to get stuck into the biggest questions ahead of EURO 2020 - Who will win it, who will win the Golden Boot and whether or not it's coming home.

I've been studying the EURO 2020 odds and I'm going to give you my best picks and predictions for the tournament, some short price bets and some longer-odds wagers that could come good.

Scroll down for:

  • Group Picks
  • Winner Picks
  • Golden Boot Picks
  • Player Of The Tournament Picks
  • Young Player Of The Tournament Picks
  • Team Goalscorer Prop Picks

EURO 2020 Odds: Group A

Team

To Win Group

To Qualify From Group

To Win EURO 2020

Italy

-182

-2000

+850

Switzerland

+550

-175

+7500

Turkey

+600

-167

+5500

Wales

+1200

-111

+20000

Italy are rightly favored to go through to the next round. They've been great under Roberto Macini and have far more quality throughout their squad than the other teams here. 

Turkey have been widely described as a dark horse for this tournament and it's hard to disagree too, they've being playing well and in Burak Yilmaz they have a goalscorer in fine form.

There's not a huge amount of value to be had here.

EURO 2020 Odds: Group A Picks

Italy to win Group A @ -182

EURO 2020 Odds: Group A Prediction

1. Italy

2. Turkey

3. Wales

4. Switzerland

Group A Fixtures

Friday June 11

Turkey vs Italy, Rome

Saturday June 12

Wales vs Switzerland, Baku

Wednesday June 16

Turkey vs Wales, Baku

Italy vs Switzerland, Rome

Sunday June 20

Italy vs Wales, Rome

Switzerland vs Turkey, Baku

EURO 2020 Odds: Group B

Team

To Win Group

To Qualify From Group

To Win EURO 2020

Belgium

-130

-2000

+750

Denmark

+275

-477

+2800

Russia

+600

-225

+12500

Finland

+3300

+250

+50000

It certainly looks like Belgium's golden generation has missed their chance to win any silverware. Romelu Lukaku is one of Europe's best marksmen but aside from Kevin De Bruyne it feels like their team is on the way down now. Their backline is aging and one of their best talents, Eden Hazard, just hasn't looked fit for Real Madrid in a long time. They'll win the group but I don't expect them to go far.

Denmark are well organised and another team who are widely expected to perform well. I'm not totally buying into the help and I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a shock in this group. Russia were great in 2018 and although that tournament was entirely on home ground, I expect them to do well and think Aleksandr Golovin could have a real breakout performance for them.

Nobody expects much from Finland in their first tournament but if Iceland taught us anything in 2016 it's that debutants can really exceed their expectations. With only 8 teams leaving the tournament after the group stages I think Finland could offer a good bet to sneak their way in to the knockouts via the third place slot.

EURO 2020 Odds: Group B Picks

Finland to qualify @ +250

EURO 2020 Odds: Group B Prediction

1. Belgium

2. Russia

3. Finland

4. Denmark

Group B Fixtures

Saturday June 12

Denmark vs Finland, Copenhagen

Belgium vs Russia, St Petersburg

Wednesday June 16

Finland vs Russia, St Petersburg

Thursday June 17

Denmark vs Belgium, Copenhagen

Monday June 21

Russia vs Denmark, Copenhagen

Finland vs Belgium, St Petersburg

EURO 2020 Odds: Group C

Team

To Win Group

To Qualify From Group

To Win EURO 2020

Netherlands

-227

-3300

+1700

Austria

+550

-275

+15000

Ukraine

+550

-303

+10000

North Macedonia

+2000

+260

+50000

The Netherlands are -227 to win the group and -3300 to qualify for the next round. I think that could be a serious trap bet and don't want any part of it. I don't think this squad is packed with world class talent, and although they are the most talented in their group, I can't back myself to put faith in Frank de Boer to get them over the line. In my eyes they're the big name team most likely to implode.

So who takes their place? Ukraine were immense in qualifying and have bounced back from recent defeats and I feel they offer some good value. 

Austria are one of those teams who are always in these tournaments but rarely actually do anything and I can't see them being brilliant today but they're compact and well organised and I can see them getting into the next round. I'd love to see North Macedonia do the business but I just can't see it, even if the Dutch impode.

EURO 2020 Odds: Group C Picks

Ukraine to win Group C @ +550

EURO 2020 Odds: Group C Prediction

1. Ukraine

2. Austria

3. Holland

4. North Macedonia

Group C Fixtures

Sunday June 13

Austria vs North Macedonia, Bucharest

Netherlands vs Ukraine, Amsterdam

Thursday June 17

Ukraine vs North Macedonia, Bucharest

Netherlands vs Austria, Amsterdam

Monday June 21

North Macedonia vs Netherlands, Amsterdam

Ukraine vs Austria, Bucharest

EURO 2020 Odds: Group D

Team

To Win Group

To Qualify From Group

To Win EURO 2020

England

-250

-5000

+600

Croatia

+320

-300

+4000

Czech Republic

+1200

+100

+17500

Scotland

+1600

+125

+25000

I'm clearly very biased here but despite some naysayers pouring scourn on England and their manager Gareth Southgate I'm convinced that England will have a good tournament. The fitness of Harry Maguire is a major concern but the attacking talent that England have in their squad is incredible and I think we could see any number of their talented youngsters explode onto the world scene this summer. Phil Foden, Mason Mount and Jude Bellingham have all competed at the highest level in the European club game but we could see them all become truly global names by the end of July.

So can anybody match England in Group D? Not for me. Croatia are the clear second best team here but they're three years older than they were when they knocked England out of the 2018 World Cup and they've only declined when England have grown.

Scotland have some talented players but heart and grit will only get you so far and the media expectations seem to be far higher than I believe their talent warrants, but a path to the knockout rounds is possible with a third place finish if they perform well, and a win over the Czech Republic would really help that.

EURO 2020 Odds: Group D Picks

N/A

EURO 2020 Odds: Group D Prediction

1. England

2. Croatia

3. Scotland

4. Czech Republic

Group D Fixtures

Sunday June 13

England vs Croatia, London

Monday June 14

Scotland vs Czech Republic, Glasgow

Friday June 18

Croatia vs Czech Republic, Glasgow

England vs Scotland, London

Tuesday June 22

Czech Republic vs England, London

Croatia vs Scotland, Glasgow

EURO 2020 Odds: Group E

Team

To Win Group

To Qualify From Group

To Win EURO 2020

Spain

-300

-4000

+950

Poland

+550

-213

+9000

Sweden

+650

-185

+10000

Slovakia

+1400

+155

+75000

This is one of the most exciting groups for me, with Spain potentially being slept on. It's obvious that they're not at the levels of their recent great teams but in Luis Enrique they have a smart manager and some young talent, such as Pedri, who could really make a name for themselves this year. In the lead up to the tournament we've mostly discussed the choice to leave out Sergio Ramos but that's arguably an insult to Spain, and we should be discussing whether their young core can win the tournament. I think that is likely to be a step too far for them but it's a great chance to build a young team and give them experience ahead of the World Cup in Qatar next year.

Elsewhere in the group I love the chances of Sweden to qualify who are hard to beat and in Alexander Isak they have one of the brightest young strikers in Europe and he's going under the radar. He is a real candidate to breakout and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him linked with a big money move to the Premier League within the next few weeks.

Poland are second favorites to win the group with the bookies but besides Robert Lewandowski I don't think they're a great team, albeit they are far better than Slovakia who are just hear to make up the numbers.

EURO 2020 Odds: Group E Picks

Sweden to qualify @ -185

EURO 2020 Odds: Group E Prediction

1. Spain

2. Sweden

3. Poland

4. Slovakia

Group E Fixtures

Monday June 14

Poland vs Slovakia, St Petersburg

Spain vs Sweden, Seville

Friday June 18

Sweden vs Slovakia, St Petersburg

Saturday June 19

Spain vs Poland, Seville

Wednesday June 23

Slovakia vs Spain, Seville

Sweden vs Poland, St Petersburg

EURO 2020 Odds: Group F

Team

To Win Group

To Qualify From Group

To Win EURO 2020

France

+140

-1000

+470

Germany

+150

-800

+900

Portugal

+350

-333

+900

Hungary

+4000

+450

+75000

It's the group that we're all talking about and the one who has taken the infamous 'Group Of Death' moniker this year.

So, somewhat unusually, let's start with Hungary. I really fancied them to pull off an upset and finish third in this group but the injury to Dominik Szoboszlai has really damaged my belief in them. Because of the great teams in Group F we haven't really heard much about Hungary who will be playing in front of home fans. Not only do they have home advantage but the stadiums in Budapest are going to be 100% full, the only stadiums in the tournament, at least during the group stages, to be so. That's a huge boost and I can see Hungary overperforming, however, without Szoboszlai, their best player, I think it's probably beyond them to qualify, but a little wager on them qualifying via a third place finish could be worth doing at odds of +450.

France should, and will, win the group. They have the best squad in the tournament and are stacked from top to bottom. The question for France is simply how far they'll go. 

So who else escapes the group? Germany are second favorites but it's Portugal who are the better team in my view. Portugal have so much attacking talent that they've got a real chance to go deep in the competition and I think we'll see Bruno Fernandes overtake Portugal as their talisman this summer.

Germany are a real conundrum. They have a great pool of talent but it feels like Joachim Low has probably stayed as manager for a tournament too long. Will he move Joshua Kimmich to rightback? In my view he should, but nobody seems to know. However with young talent like Kai Havertz it's possible that Germany and Joachim Low could have one last hurrah.

EURO 2020 Odds: Group F Picks

France to win Group F @ +142

Hungary to qualify @ +450

EURO 2020 Odds: Group F Prediction

1. France

2. Portugal

3. Hungary

4. Germany

Group F Fixtures

Tuesday June 15

Hungary vs Portugal, Budapest

Germany vs France, Munich

Saturday June 19

Hungary vs France, Budapest

Germany vs Portugal, Munich

Wednesday June 23

Germany vs Hungary, Munich

Portugal vs France, Budapest

EURO 2020 Odds: Winner Picks

France are the bookies favorites ahead of England, Belgium, Italy, Germany and Portugal and they should win. They're the best team in the tournament and have such incredible strength in depth from back to front. My heart is so desperate for England to win this and I think they have such a great chance but if my life depended on it I'd have to back France.

In this tournament, in this year of all years, is there a chance that illness could grip a team in the final stages of the tournament and cause a freak win? 

France @ +500

EURO 2020 Odds Top 5 Most Backed

Here are the top 5 most backed teams to win the Euros on OddsChecker over the past 24 hours.

Team

Public Betting % (24 Hours)

Odds

France

19.28%

+500

England

12.82%

+550

Italy

11.99%

+900

Belgium

7.75%

+750

Portugal

7.66%

+900

EURO 2020 Odds: Golden Boot Picks

The Golden Boot is always a tough one to choose and it's worth remembering that most goals are scored in the group stages, often in games against teams of a lower quality. With that in mind I think it's best to look for a team in a group with fairly poor teams and also one who has the potential to also go fairly deep into the competition, even if they're not going to win EURO 2020.

For me the clear favorite is Romelu Lukaku, he's the main man for Belgium, their lynchpin and has been taking penalties when Eden Hazard has struggled with injuries, something he may continue to do here. He'll be facing Denmark, Russia and Finland in the groups and has a real chance to put up some big numbers. He's scored 30 in 44 games this year and notched on his last outing for the natonal team. He's the best of the short price favorites.

I'm also wagering on another player who could have a breakout tournament and that's Italy's Federicho Chiesa. Chiesa was Juventus' best player whenever I saw them this season and was a goal threat for his club scoring 15 in 46 games, and crucially 4 in 8 Champions League games, showing that he's the man for the big occasion. I don't rate Ciro Immobile, who'll be playing 9 for Italy, and think they'll need goals from those surrounding him on the flanks, either Chiesa or Lorenzo Insigne. At 150/1 I thik he's a great value wager here. 

Romelu Lukaku @ +650

Federicho Chiesa @ +15000

EURO 2020 Odds, Golden Boot Most Backed

Here are the top 5 most backed players to win the Golden Boot on OddsChecker over the past 7 days.

Team

Public Betting % (7 Days)

Odds

Romelu Lukaku

15.54%

+650

Memphis Depay

7.35%

+1600

Burak Yilmaz

5.98%

+5000

Antoine Griezmann

5.27%

+1300

Kylian Mbappe

5.07%

+1100

EURO 2020 Odds: Player Of The Tournament Picks

If you believe France will win the tournament then it makes sense that a French player would win the best player award and you can't look any further than N'Golo Kante who was the best player for Chelsea in the Champions League down the stretch and he's a key member of this Les Blues team, giving the players with more flair the platform to showcase their skills, he's also a key component in driving the team forward.

N'Golo Kante @ +1600

EURO 2020 Odds: Young Player Of The Tournament Picks

There are a number of talented young players who I think could win this award. Personally I can't look beyond one of England's bright young things, Phil Foden. Although Mason Mount will be in the conversation I think it's Man City's youngster who could really use EURO 2020 to underline why he's the best young midfielder in the world.

Beyond England I like the look of Kai Havertz but given I'm unsure of how Germany will perform, I'll avoid him, that leaves me to select Alexander Isak. The young Swede has been firing in goals this season and a couple of goals here could give him this award and he's a huge price at 40/1.

Phil Foden @ +500

Alexander Isak @ +4000

EURO 2020 Odds: Team Goalscorer Prop Picks

Now we're going to look at one of the most fun markets. The top goalscorer for each team. There are some obvious big names who offer great value, as well as some attacking talents on weaker teams who i think could breakout in this tournament and offer some value.

Romelu Lukaku - Belgium Top Scorer @ -125

Memphis Depay - Netherlands Top Scorer @ +138

Roman Yaremchuk - Ukraine Top Scorer @ +350

Moreno Gerard - Spain Top Scorer @ +600

Alexandr Golovin - Russia Top Scorer @ +1200

Federicho Chiesa - Italy Top Scorer @ +1200

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
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