England vs. Germany Prediction: EURO 2020 Odds & Picks
If England are to finally end their long, 55-year wait for international soccer silverware at Euro 2020, they will have to banish some ghosts of the past. Indeed, this round of 16 match-up against Germany brings back some painful memories for the Three Lions and their manager Gareth Southgate, whose missed penalty against the same opponents sent England crashing out of Euro 96.
A lot has changed since then, but this rivalry remains a fierce one. Germany aren’t as strong as they were just a few years ago, yet it would be foolish to write off a nation with such pedigree at the top of the international game. This has the potential to be one of Euro 2020’s most compelling games. Here are some tips and predictions for England v Germany on Tuesday June 29.
England vs. Germany Prediction
When: June 29
Where: Wembley, London
Time: 12pm ET
Odds: England +160, Draw +225, Germany +195 - View full odds for the game here.
Both Joachim Low and Southgate have faced questions over the stewardship of their respective teams this summer, but for different reasons. While England have struggled for attacking verve, scoring just two goals in the three games they have played so far, Germany have been somewhat erratic, swinging wildly from match-to-match.
Southgate seems to be counting on defensive solidity to get England, who have yet to concede a goal, through Euro 2020. This, however, will be tested by a German frontline that lacks a true number nine, but still boasts versatile and potent forwards in the likes of Serge Gnabry, Kai Havertz and Thomas Muller.
The omens for Germany are good - they are unbeaten in their last five away matches against England in all competitions. Low’s side have also scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 11 European Championships games (including qualifiers). Keeping this German attack quiet will be England’s biggest task of the tournament to date.
It’s possible Southgate could match Germany by opting for a back three. This would help combat the threat of Robin Gosens and Joshua Kimmich in the wing back positions - Portugal discovered to their cost what can happen if the pair are afforded too much freedom. England have the players to make this system work.
In attack, England are spoiled for choice. German soccer fans will look at Jadon Sancho’s lack of game time at Euro 2020 with bemusement considering what the winger has done in the Bundesliga, but this is just an illustration of the options the Three Lions have in the final third. England must translate their roar into some sort of bite, though.