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Graham Ruthven tells us if it's coming home or not with his EURO 2020 Final pick

England vs. Italy Prediction: EURO 2020 Final Odds & Picks

And then there were only two. After 51 games contested between 24 teams over 30 days, Euro 2020 will conclude with Sunday’s final between Italy and England. While Roberto Mancini’s side are looking to be crowned European champions for the first time since 1968, the Three Lions are aiming to win their first international title since the 1966 World Cup.

Italy and England have been the tournament’s two most consistent sides and have earned their right to play in Sunday’s showpiece event. Despite being the away team on the official record, Gareth Southgate and his players will enjoy home advantage at Wembley, where England have played five of their six matches so far.

Here are some main betting picks ahead of the Euro 2020 final between Italy and England on Sunday July 11.

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England vs. Itlay Prediction

For full England vs. Italy odds, click here

No team has caught the eye at Euro 2020 quite like Italy who started their campaign with six goals in their first two games and have used that momentum to push them all the way to the final. Mancini’s team play in a 4-3-3 shape that allows them control in the centre of the pitch as well as the ability to spring forward on the counter attack.

Sunday’s match could be decided in the midfield where England’s pair of Kalvin Phillips and Declan Rice will be pitted against the Italian trio of Nicolo Barella, Jorginho and Marco Verratti, with Manuel Locatelli also an option off the bench. Southgate might be tempted to start Jordan Henderson to help in this area.

Both these teams made it through the group stage without conceding a goal, hinting that this could be a low-scoring encounter. In Federico Chiesa, though, Italy boast an attacker capable of creating something out of nothing, as he did in the semi-final against Spain. England also possess a host of world class attacking options - see Harry Kane, Raheem Sterling, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish and the rest.

The injury suffered by Leonardo Spinazzola in the quarter-final win over Belgium robbed Italy of an attacking outlet down the left side against Spain in the semi-final. Indeed, the Azzurri aren’t quite as dynamic as they were when Spinazolla had the intensity and mobility to burst into the final third at will earlier in the tournament.

There has been under 2.5 total goals in five of the last six games England have played while Italy are undefeated in their last 33 matches in all competitions. The omens aren’t especially good for the Three Lions, who have failed to beat the Azzurri in any of their previous six meetings against them in major tournaments.

England vs. Italy Betting Picks

1u - Italy To Lift The Trophy @ +100

1u - Both Teams To Score @ +125

Article Author


Graham Ruthven is a soccer writer and tipster who has written for the New York Times, Guardian, Eurosport and others.


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