Villarreal vs. Man Utd Prediction, Europa League Final Stats, Odds & Picks

An in-depth look at Villarreal vs. Man Utd. Giving our prediction and picks for the Europa League final.
Samuel Farley
Tue, May 25, 10:22 AM EDT

Europa League Final Picks: Villarreal vs. Man Utd predictions

Wednesday sees the Europa League final between Villarreal and Manchester United with the English side looking to seal their second Europa League title and the first trophy of the Ole Gunnar Solskjaer era.

Key Villarreal vs. Man Utd Statistics:

  • The last 4 meetings between Villarreal and Man Utd have finished as a draw
  • Villarreal haven't lost any of their past 14 games in the Europa League
  • Man Utd have scored 2+ goals in their last 4 Europa League matches

Europa League Final Predictions: Villarreal vs. Man Utd Expert Picks

1u - Man Utd -1 @ +245 (Click To Bet)

0.5u - Fred To Get A Card @ +250 (Click To Bet)

Wednesday sees the Europa League final between Villarreal and Manchester United. This trophy doesn't have the reputation of the Champions League, it's superior brother, but it's still a top European competition and both sides will be trying their hardest to win it.

Villarreal reached the final having beaten Arsenal. Arsenal were a huge let down and played a long way short of their potential. During the latter stages of that game Arsenal looked toothless and didn't really challenge Villarreal as much as they should have.

Manchester United played Roma in the semi-final and put on a real clinic. They won 6-2 in the first-leg and although they lost 3-2 in the second leg, it was already game over. 

So what about these two when they meet? For my money it's Man Utd who are rightfully favorites, they've had a good Premier League campaign and have displayed their ability going forward throughout the season.

It's that strikeforce which leads me to expect a United win. With Edinson Cavani playing through the middle and Marcus Rashford down the flank, there is real dynamism and movement to the attack and they'll cause troubles for a couple of Villarreal's aging defenders like Raul Albiol and Mario Gaspar. Normally we see these finals as being low scoring events but I think with United's creativity they'll score multiple times. With that in mind I'm backing United to win with a -1 handicap. 

It's been a strange season for Villarreal, they've finished 7th in La Liga, which has meant that they'll miss out on European competition next year unless they win this game and secure a spot in next season's Champions League. They've had some impressive results at times but also some disciplinary issues, with the team getting 3 red cards in their past 9 games.

I do worry about United's backline though and the Harry Maguire injury is key. I believe it's unlikely that he starts and I can see the back four giving up a goal without their talisman in the lineup. I think a correct score of United winning 3-1 at +1500 is well worth a small wager.

One final wager that I love for this game is for Man United's Brazilian star Fred to pick up a booking. In 47 games this season he's picked up 9 cards. He's a liability and his rash tackling, especially when United are trying to hold a lead, is a weakness that makes the +250 odds on him getting a card look very appealing.

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Villarreal vs. Man Utd Score Prediction

Villarreal 1-3 Man Utd @ +1500 (Click To Bet)

Europa League Final: Villarreal vs. Man Utd Odds

Result

Odds

Public Betting % (Past 7 Days)

Villarreal

+360

39.06%

Manchester United

-114

54.68%

Draw

+250

6.25%

Villarreal vs. Man Utd Public Betting

Manchester United are favorites with the bookies and bettors alike. Over 54% of bets have been on United to win the game inside of 90 minutes.

Only 6.25% of bets have been on the game finishing as a draw, perhaps a surprise given that the last four meetings between the teams have finished tied.

Europa League Final: Villarreal vs. Man Utd Expected Lineups

This is how we expect both teams to line up on Wednesday 26th May, with Harry Maguire likely to start on the bench for Man Utd, despite travelling with the squad.

Villarreal XI: Rulli, Gaspar, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza, Trigueros, Parejo, Capoue, Gomez, Bacca, Moreno.

Man Utd XI: De Gea, Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Tuanzebe, Shaw, Fred, McTominay, Rashford, Fernandes, Pogba, Cavani.

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What time does the Europa League final, Villarreal vs. Man Utd kick off?

The game kicks off at 3pm ET. The local time in Gdansk, Poland where the game is taking place at 9pm.

Where is the Europa League taking place?

The Europa League final is being held at Stadion Miejski, in Gdańsk, Poland.

How To Watch Villarreal vs. Man Utd In The Europa League Final

You can watch Wednesday's big game on TV or with a stream.

TV: CBS Sports Network

Live stream: Paramount+

How to bet on Villarreal vs. Man Utd

You can bet on Wednesday's game with the majority of legal sportsbooks in the country. Click here and see where you can bet on the game in your state.

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
0Betslip

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