Soccer writer Sam Farley takes a look at Sunday's biggest Premier League game between Chelsea and Man Utd.
Key Chelsea vs. Man Utd Statistics:
- Man United are undefeated in their last 19 road games
- There have been under 2.5 goals in 7 of Chelsea's past 8 league matches
- Chelsea have had 3 clean sheets at home in a row in the league
- Chelsea have only lost 1 of their past 11 home games
Chelsea vs. Man Utd Expert Picks
1u – Under 1.5 Goals @ +270 (Click To Bet)
1u – Correct Score 0-0 @ +1000 (Click To Bet)
If you've read any of my recent picks pieces for Chelsea you'll be familiar with how impressed I've been by Thomas Tuchel's Chelsea since the German arrived in place of Frank Lampard. It's clear that they've really bought into the identity that he's trying to implement and that's paying dividends. This is a seriously talented team.
The most obvious difference since the arrival of Tuchel is the defensive stability which has developed. The team are far more cautious and pragmatic but it's undoubtedly working. I wrote midweek that Tuchel (and Diego Simeone) would be playing to not lose, rather than win, and I think that applies again here, this is a game that Chelsea won't risk losing.
It also can't be denied that Man United have an incredible away record but despite their success on the road I don't think it'll be a key decider in the result here. United did rest players on Thursday in the Europa League but Bruno Fernandes still played another game, and he is by far and away the most important man on the team. That lack of rest could make United look static and uncreative here.
I can't see Chelsea conceding here and given their caution first approach I'm backing under 1.5 goals. I'm also throwing half a unit on the correct score being 0-0. A 0-0 draw is the fourth most likely result according to the odds but in my view it's far more likely than that and is a worthwhile wager for me.
Sunday Premier League Picks
Feel free to follow my other leans for Saturday
Sunday Premier League Parlay
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