Liverpool vs. Chelsea Prediction, Statistics, Preview & Betting Picks

An in-depth look at Liverpool vs. Chelsea. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game. In addition to some leans elsewhere in the Premier League.
Samuel Farley
Wed, March 3, 8:43 AM EST

Liverpool vs. Chelsea predictions – 3:15pm ET

Soccer writer Sam Farley is back with a look at Thursday's biggest game. You can see his picks for the other Premier League games on the day at the bottom of the page.

Key Liverpool vs. Chelsea Statistics:

  • There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Liverpool's last 6 home games in the league
  • Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their past 7 EPL games
  • Chelsea are undefeated in their past 7 league games
  • There have been under 2.5 goals in 8 of Chelsea's past 9 games

Liverpool vs. Chelsea Expert Picks

1u – Under 2.5 Goals @ +104 (Click To Bet)

Look, if you've read the stats above and then you've seen the pick I've gone for, then it's not hard to understand why.

On Sunday I backed under 1.5 goals in the Chelsea vs. Man Utd game, and also backed the 0-0 draw, in my piece. In that piece I wrote that "Tuchel would be playing to not lose, rather than win, and I think that applies again here, this is a game that Chelsea won't risk losing." The same applies in this game and I can't see Chelsea going overboard to win.

One thing that might be different is Liverpool, who are more likely to push for a win that Man Utd were on Sunday, who were happy settling for a point, that just isn't in Liverpool's DNA under Jurgen Klopp. Chelsea have been so impressive of late but I think there could be value in Liverpool here at +125, and they're +320 to win to nil.

Despite being tempted at those prices I think it's safest just to stick with the under. I just can't see Chelsea overextending themselves and letting this become a shootout. With both teams find themselves in low scoring games of late it's best to back that trend, especially when it's over +100.

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Thursday Premier League Picks

Feel free to follow my other leans for Wednesday

West Brom vs. Everton - 1:00pm - Everton @ -111

Fulham vs. Tottenham - 1:00pm - Both Teams To Score @ -110

Thursday Premier League Parlay

A $20 parlay of all of today's bets would return over $127 if you bet with Bet365

We now have a brand new parlay calculator, allowing you to work out the return on your parlays! Click HERE to try it out.

Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
0Betslip

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