FA Cup: Chelsea vs. Man City Prediction, Statistics, Preview & Betting Picks

An in-depth look at Chelsea vs. Man City. Giving our prediction and picks as well as the key statistics for that game.
Samuel Farley
Fri, April 16, 11:20 AM EDT

Chelsea vs. Man City predictions – 12:30pm ET

It's been a great week for both Chelsea and Manchester City with both teams making it to the Champions League semifinal stage. This FA Cup tie semifinal could be an early preview for a potential Champions League Final meeting between the two.

Key Chelsea vs. Man City Statistics:

  • Chelsea have won 14 of their last 15 games in the FA Cup.
  • Man City have scored at least 2 goals in their last 4 FA Cup matches.

Chelsea vs. Man City Expert Picks

1u – Man City @ -120 (Click To Bet)

0.5u – Man City 2-0 Correct score @ +775 (Click To Bet)

The FA Cup is the greatest domestic soccer competition in the world and it isn't even close. That said it's been spoiled this year down to the pandemic, which has led to no fans being in stadiums, and anybody know loves the FA Cup knows that fans really hold the key to the competiton. 

This semifinal features the two best teams left in the competition, with the winner set to face either Leicester City or Southampton in the final.

So who wins Chelsea vs. Man City? Despite how much I love Thomas Tuchel's work at Chelsea, I don't think that they're at the level of Manchester City, who are the best team on the planet. Man City's strength is that they have so many players who can hurt you.

Man City's defense has also been hugely impressive this season and have really grown and developed from what they were in recent seasons, which was error prone and always likely to give up soft goals.

We know how Thomas Tuchel likes to approach these big games, in fact, most games, and that's my being cautious and risk averse and then looking to pounce on any mistakes, while also looking to establish control of the ball and dictate the tempo. He's going to struggle hard to do that against a Pep Guardiola side and the way that Phil Foden, Rodri and Kevin De Bruyne can keep hold of the ball is so impressive. That'll force his midfield into doing what they're not best at.

As good as Man City are, they won't blow out Chelsea with the way they play, and games between the best sides in England have frequently failed to be high scoring in recent years. 

With the approach that Chelsea will bring to the game I expect this to be low scoring. Under 2.5 goals was -120 and is a solid bet, especially given how few goals are scored in Chelsea games these days.

I've decided to go another way with my picks today, instead focusing on the result market, of which I think Man City should win comfortably. I'm also looking at something with longer odds and that is a correct score. It's always tricky to predict scores but given that I believe Man City will win and we'll see under 2.5 goals, it makes sense that a 2-0 victory could be the outcome here, and at a price of +775 it looks like value.

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Sam Farley
FarleyWrites
A lifelong football and basketball fan with years of experience in the sports gambling industry, Sam is known for his incredibly deep knowledge of all things NFL and NBA
Mar 2021
Record
Wins
13
Losses
6
Push
0
ROI
71.4%
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